Manassas city

Population 44,332 (2025) 10 sq mi

Property owners in Manassas city have filed 25 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 97th most of 133 counties in Virginia.

Hazard fingerprint for Manassas city Tornado: 96th percentile. Tropical: 53th percentile. Wildfire: 0th percentile. Flood: 99th percentile. Hail & wind: 100th percentile. Heat: 0th percentile. Cold: 0th percentile. Winter: 0th percentile. TORTROPFIREFLOODSEVEREHEATCOLDWINTER

Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed

2026
  • Tornado damage paths since 19501
  • Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger28

At a glance

The record for Manassas city in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.

Flood insurance claims

25

97th of 133 in Virginia

$119,000 paid since 1978

Details

Tornadoes since 1950

1

103rd of 133 in Virginia

Fewer than the typical Virginia county, which has had 5

Details

Tropical cyclones within 50 mi

12

74th of 133 in Virginia

2 at hurricane strength since 1851

Details

Strongest tornado

F1

September 17, 2004, 3.5 mile path

Strongest tropical cyclone

Cat. 1

Hurricane (unnamed), 1878, 21.2 miles away

Largest earthquake within 50 mi

4.6magnitude

April 9, 1918, 47.1 miles away

Details

Federal disaster declarations

15

Most recent: Severe Winter Storm, 2026

Details

Record high

105°F

July 22, 2011

Details

Tornadoes

About one every 76 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.

Strongest

September 17, 2004

F1, 3.5 mile path

75 yards wide.

Most recent

Friday, September 17, 2004

F1, 3.5 mile path

22 years ago.

Tornadoes by decade Doppler radar era² 1950s: 0 1960s: 0 1970s: 0 1980s: 0 1990s: 0 2000s: 1 1 2010s: 0 2020s: 0 1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Recorded tornadoes per decade. The 2020s are incomplete.
Tornadoes by month J: 0 F: 0 M: 0 A: 0 M: 0 J: 0 J: 0 A: 0 S: 1 1 O: 0 N: 0 D: 0 JFMAMJJASOND
By month of occurrence, all years.

Every recorded tornado

Tornadoes in Manassas city since 1950
Sep 17, 2004F13.57500
  1. Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Manassas city: 0.
  2. Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.

Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

12 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 2 at hurricane strength.

Strongest within 50 miles

October 23, 1878

Unnamed storm, Category 1

21.2 miles at closest approach, winds near 92 mph.

Most recent

July 9, 2021

Elsa, Tropical storm

93.8 miles at closest approach.

Tropical cyclones within 50 miles by decade 50s: 0 60s: 0 70s: 2 80s: 0 90s: 3 3 00s: 0 10s: 1 20s: 0 30s: 1 40s: 2 50s: 3 60s: 0 70s: 0 80s: 0 90s: 0 00s: 0 10s: 0 20s: 0 50s60s70s80s90s00s10s20s30s40s50s60s70s80s90s00s10s20s
Storms within 50 miles, by decade. Records before about 1900 miss storms that never reached land or ships.

Every storm within 100 miles

Tropical cyclones within 100 miles
Elsa202193.8Tropical storm55Category 1
Zeta202047.9Post-tropical52Category 3
Isaias202061.9Tropical storm68Category 1
Sandy201287.2Post-tropical60Category 3
Hanna200872.8Tropical storm52Category 1
Ernesto200640.3Post-tropical46Category 1
Isabel200370.6Tropical storm60Category 5
Bertha199679.5Tropical storm69Category 3
Danielle199292.3Tropical storm44Tropical storm
David197961.4Tropical storm46Category 5
Diane195523.1Tropical storm44Category 2
Connie195549.8Tropical storm60Category 4
Hazel19545.1Post-tropical84Category 4
Able195218.0Tropical storm55Category 2
Unnamed194927.2Tropical storm58Category 4
Unnamed194539.0Post-tropical40Category 4
Unnamed194454.0Tropical storm40Category 1
Unnamed194342.4Tropical storm48Tropical storm
Unnamed193422.1Post-tropical46Category 2
Unnamed193314.0Tropical storm63Category 4
Unnamed192933.3Post-tropical58Category 4
Unnamed192813.0Post-tropical54Category 5
Unnamed192875.6Post-tropical48Category 2
Unnamed19159.6Tropical storm46Category 1
Unnamed190490.2Tropical storm69Category 1
Unnamed190265.8Post-tropical40Category 2
Unnamed190292.8Post-tropical46Tropical storm
Unnamed189937.7Post-tropical58Category 2
Unnamed189659.4Tropical storm71Category 3
Unnamed189340.4Tropical storm44Tropical storm
Unnamed189331.0Category 175Category 3
Unnamed189315.1Tropical storm63Category 3
Unnamed188874.5Tropical storm40Tropical storm
Unnamed188699.8Tropical storm40Category 2
Unnamed188529.1Post-tropical46Tropical storm
Unnamed188293.8Tropical storm52Category 3
Unnamed187821.2Category 192Category 2
Unnamed187783.6Post-tropical63Category 3
Unnamed18766.4Tropical storm67Category 3
Unnamed187487.4Tropical storm58Category 1
Unnamed187284.7Tropical storm46Category 1
Unnamed185999.7Tropical storm61Category 1
  1. Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.

National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.

Wildfire and smoke

No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.

Smoke overhead

Smokiest year

2023: 49 days

Heavy smoke on 11 days in 2023, the most of any year.

Last 10 years

11.9 days a year

Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.

2025

12 days

Medium or heavy smoke. 28 so far in 2026.

Days with medium or heavy smoke overhead, by year 2011: 0 2012: 4 2013: 0 2014: 4 2015: 7 2016: 0 2017: 1 2018: 3 2019: 3 2020: 6 2021: 24 2022: 10 2023: 49 49 2024: 11 2025: 12 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Days each year on which a satellite-traced plume of medium or heavy smoke covered the county’s population centre, 2011 to 2025.
  1. A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.

NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Floods and flood insurance

25 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $119,000 paid.

Federal flood insurance claims by year 2011: 7 7 2011
Claims per year since 1978. Years with fewer than five claims are not shown.

Most claims in one year

2011: 7 claims

$46,000 paid.

Claims by ZIP code

Flood insurance claims by ZIP code
2011023$104,000

Flood events since 1996

  • Flash Flood9
  • Flood7
  • Heavy Rain6

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.

Drought

In severe drought or worse for 142 of 1,581 months since 1895 (9%); the longest spell lasted 28 months.

142

Months in severe drought or worse since 1895

50

Months in extreme drought

9%

Share of all months, severe or worse

Lowest reading

February 1931

−6.87, extreme drought

Longest severe spell

28 months

June 2024 to September 2026.

Latest month

September 2026

−3.16, severe drought

Months in severe drought or worse, by year 1895: 1 1896: 2 1897: 1 1898: 0 1899: 0 1900: 0 1901: 0 1902: 0 1903: 0 1904: 0 1905: 0 1906: 0 1907: 0 1908: 0 1909: 0 1910: 1 1911: 1 1912: 0 1913: 0 1914: 3 1915: 0 1916: 0 1917: 0 1918: 0 1919: 0 1920: 0 1921: 0 1922: 0 1923: 0 1924: 0 1925: 0 1926: 0 1927: 0 1928: 0 1929: 0 1930: 6 1931: 9 1932: 0 1933: 0 1934: 0 1935: 0 1936: 0 1937: 0 1938: 0 1939: 0 1940: 0 1941: 3 1942: 4 1943: 0 1944: 0 1945: 0 1946: 0 1947: 0 1948: 0 1949: 0 1950: 0 1951: 0 1952: 0 1953: 0 1954: 0 1955: 1 1956: 0 1957: 0 1958: 0 1959: 0 1960: 0 1961: 0 1962: 0 1963: 0 1964: 2 1965: 2 1966: 5 1967: 0 1968: 0 1969: 2 1970: 0 1971: 0 1972: 0 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 0 1977: 4 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 6 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 3 1986: 6 1987: 0 1988: 0 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 5 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 3 1999: 6 2000: 0 2001: 0 2002: 8 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 0 2007: 6 2008: 4 2009: 1 2010: 0 2011: 0 2012: 3 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 2 2017: 6 2018: 1 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 7 2024: 7 2025: 12 12 18951905191519251935194519551965197519851995200520152025
Months each year with a Palmer index of −3 or lower, 1895 to 2025. Twelve means the whole year.
  1. The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.

NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.

Earthquakes

1 earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.6 in 1918.

0

Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973

2

Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973

1

Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900

0

Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900

Largest within 50 miles

April 9, 1918

Magnitude 4.6

6 km NE of Luray, Virginia; 47.1 miles away.

Most recent, magnitude 3 or more

January 17, 2016

Magnitude 3.0

3 km NE of Ranson, West Virginia; 41.7 miles away.

Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles

Earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
Apr 9, 19184.647.1—6 km NE of Luray, Virginia
  1. Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
  2. Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).

USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Severe weather and other events

80 events in the National Weather Service record, 80 of them since 1996.

8

Hail reports, 1 inch or larger

0

Hail, 2 inches or larger

28

Damaging gusts, 58 mph+

0

Winter weather events since 1996

0

Heat events since 1996

0

Cold events since 1996

Largest hail

June 15, 1998

1.75 inches

Strongest measured or estimated gust

March 13, 2001

71 mph

More event types since 1996

Other Storm Events types since 1996
Lightning201Jun 19, 2020

Costliest events since 1996

  1. Apr 23, 1999Hail$2.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    A line of thunderstorms developed in West Virginia during the early afternoon and moved rapidly southeast across Northern Virginia. These storms produced very large hail in a 10 mile wide strip from Winchester in Frederick County to Woodbridge in Prince William County from 3:30 PM EDT to 5:00 PM EDT. Winds over 55 MPH also downed trees and power lines in Frederick and Clarke County between 3:30 PM EDT and 4:15 PM EDT. Frederick County spotters reported between 1 3/4 to 3 1/2 inch diameter hail. The rubber membrane roof of the War Memorial Building in Winchester was punctured by hail the size of golf balls, allowing heavy rain to fall inside the structure and cause significant…

  2. Aug 3, 2002Thunderstorm Wind$500,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Numerous thunderstorms with high winds, large hail, frequent lightning, and heavy downpours moved through the region between 2 and 8 PM EDT. In Nelson County, trees were downed in Arrington and Piedmont. Flood waters covered Route 56 in Shipman. In Augusta County, trees were downed in Mint Spring. Two campers were injured by lightning in Natural Chimneys Regional Park near Mt. Solon. They were holding onto an awning when lightning struck and they both sustained minor injuries. Lightning also downed trees onto two cars and a mobile home nearby. In Highland County, a few trees were downed in Mill Gap. In Rockingham County, the hardest hit community was Harrisonburg. Two buildings,…

  3. May 26, 2021Thunderstorm Wind$150,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Widespread wind damage was reported in and around Manassas. A tree blew down on Fairview Avenue next to the Manassas Police Station. Multiple large tree limbs were snapped off near the intersection of Sudley Road and VA-28 Centreville Road. Nearby, a tree fell onto a mobile home, destroying it. Numerous trees were blown down in the 9000 block of VA-28 Centreville Road.

  4. Jun 4, 2008Thunderstorm Wind$40,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A local newspaper reported a tree had fallen onto a house and a car and part of the roof of an elementary school was blown off.

  5. Aug 9, 2000Thunderstorm Wind$30,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Trees and power lines were downed and picnic tables and concession tents were damaged at an amusment park.

  6. Jun 22, 2006Thunderstorm Wind$20,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Thunderstorms brought several trees and large limbs down across the city.

  7. May 12, 2008Flood$20,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Homes on Lake Drive near Leland Road were flooded.

  8. Jun 4, 2008Thunderstorm Wind$10,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A trained spotter reported a tree had fallen onto a pickup truck.

  9. Jul 16, 2025Thunderstorm Wind$5,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    There were several calls for trees and wires blown down in the City of Manassas.

  10. Jun 15, 1998Hail$3,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    The juxtaposition of a northward moving warm front, strong surface low pressure over the midwest, and a fast upper-level jet combined to produce another outbreak of severe weather - this coming two days after a notable episode over much of northern Virginia on the 13th. Once again, damage was highlighted by downed trees, large hail, and several cases of flash flooding. Much of the notable tree damage occurred over and east of the piedmont; flash flooding was seen over and west of the piedmont.The episode was dominated by a single supercell which developed over the west central piedmont near the Blue Ridge and propagated east through Fauquier, Prince William, Fairfax, and Arlington…

  1. Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.

Weather records

From Washington Dulles International Airport, 12.7 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1960.

All-time high
105°FJul 22, 2011
All-time low
−18°FJan 22, 1984
Warmest night
81°FJul 16, 2026
Coldest day
6°FJan 19, 1994
Wettest day
10.67 inJun 21, 1972
Snowiest day
22.5 inFeb 11, 1983
Hottest year
2024mean 58.9°F
Coldest year
1976mean 51.9°F
Wettest year
201866.74 in
Driest year
200727.02 in
Snowiest season
73.2 in2009-10
Average monthly high and low temperature and precipitation, last 30 years, Washington Dulles International Airport 32°F 43° 25° 2.9 Jan 47° 27° 2.6 Feb 56° 34° 3.1 Mar 67° 44° 3.3 Apr 75° 53° 4.9 May 84° 62° 4.2 Jun 88° 67° 4.1 Jul 86° 66° 3.6 Aug 80° 59° 3.9 Sep 69° 46° 3.5 Oct 57° 36° 2.7 Nov 47° 29° 3.2 Dec Precipitation, inches
Average daily high and low by month, and average monthly precipitation, over the last 30 years.
Days reaching 95°F per year 1976: 1 1977: 11 1978: 4 1979: 3 1980: 21 1981: 3 1982: 4 1983: 13 1984: 0 1985: 11 1986: 15 1987: 14 1988: 21 1989: 2 1990: 3 1991: 21 1992: 2 1993: 23 23 1994: 6 1995: 12 1996: 0 1997: 8 1998: 12 1999: 17 2000: 0 2001: 3 2002: 15 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 5 2006: 9 2007: 17 2008: 3 2009: 5 2010: 19 2011: 15 2012: 15 2013: 2 2014: 1 2015: 0 2016: 17 2017: 1 2018: 3 2019: 13 2020: 10 2021: 10 2022: 4 2023: 10 2024: 23 2025: 7 19761986199620062016
Days reaching 95°F each complete year, last 50 years. Thirty-year average: 8.1.
Snowfall by winter 1976: 10.6 in 1977: 27.4 in 1978: 40.6 in 1979: 26.8 in 1980: 4.4 in 1981: 29.5 in 1982: 39.2 in 1983: 22.4 in 1984: 14.8 in 1985: 18.1 in 1986: 42.7 in 1987: 16.7 in 1988: 9.9 in 1989: 29.2 in 1990: 14.6 in 1991: 6.7 in 1992: 30.3 in 1993: 19.4 in 1994: 14.0 in 1995: 61.9 in 1996: 17.8 in 1997: 5.9 in 1998: 20.2 in 1999: 23.2 in 2000: 12.9 in 2001: 2.6 in 2002: 50.1 in 2003: 17.4 in 2004: 17.3 in 2005: 14.1 in 2006: 14.7 in 2007: 6.5 in 2008: 8.0 in 2009: 73.2 in 73.2 2010: 12.6 in 2011: 3.7 in 2012: 12.7 in 2013: 52.8 in 2014: 36.9 in 2015: 34.3 in 2016: 7.3 in 2017: 11.9 in 2018: 26.5 in 2019: 2.9 in 2020: 12.0 in 2021: 15.8 in 2022: 0.4 in 2023: 11.7 in 2024: 15.5 in 2025: 13.6 in 19761986199620062016
Total snowfall each winter (July to June), last 50 winters.

Median first snow

December 10

Earliest: October 10, 1979

Median last snow

March 14

Latest: April 12, 1973

0 of 63 winters had no measurable snow.

Station Washington Dulles International Airport (USW00093738), 294 ft elevation, 12.7 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1960 to October 26, 2026; 100.0% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.

NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.

Federal disaster declarations

15 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 23, 2026.

Federal disaster declarations
Jan 23, 2026Winter StormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3631-VA
Apr 2, 2020BiologicalCovid-19 PandemicMajor disasterDR-4512-VA
Mar 13, 2020BiologicalCovid-19EmergencyEM-3448-VA
Sep 11, 2018HurricaneHurricane FlorenceEmergencyEM-3403-VA
Mar 7, 2016SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disasterDR-4262-VA
Nov 26, 2012HurricaneHurricane SandyMajor disasterDR-4092-VA
Oct 29, 2012HurricaneHurricane SandyEmergencyEM-3359-VA
Apr 27, 2010SnowstormSevere Winter Storms and SnowstormsMajor disasterDR-1905-VA
Feb 16, 2010SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disasterDR-1874-VA
Sep 12, 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergencyEM-3240-VA
Sep 18, 2003HurricaneHurricane IsabelMajor disasterDR-1491-VA
Mar 27, 2003Severe StormSevere Winter Storm, Record/Near Record Snowfall, Heavy Rain,Floodind, and MudslideMajor disasterDR-1458-VA
Feb 28, 2000Severe StormSevere Winter StormsMajor disasterDR-1318-VA
Jan 13, 1996SnowstormBlizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disasterDR-1086-VA
Mar 25, 1993SnowstormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3112-VA

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.

How this compares

Where Manassas city stands among 133 counties in Virginia and 3,143 in the United States.

Ranks
Tornadoes since 19501103 / 1332,945 / 3,143
Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger0——
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi1274 / 133700 / 3,143
Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi235 / 133454 / 3,143
Wildfire acres since 19840——
Flood insurance claims2597 / 1331,978 / 3,143
Flood insurance paid$119,000111 / 1332,308 / 3,143
Disaster declarations15117 / 1332,305 / 3,143
Flood events since 199622125 / 1332,422 / 3,143
Hail and wind events since 199656124 / 1332,985 / 3,143
Winter storm events since 19960——
Reported damage since 1996$2.8 million106 / 1332,644 / 3,143
River crests at major flood stage0——
High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years0.0——
Months in severe drought since 18951422 / 1331,133 / 3,143
Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years11.923 / 1332,174 / 3,143
Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900165 / 1331,397 / 3,143
Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 19730——

Neighbouring counties

Neighbouring counties
Manassas Park city01205
Prince William County1416816485

Sources and vintage

Every number on this page comes from these public records.

  • Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
  • Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
  • Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
  • Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
  • Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
  • Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00093738.
  • River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
  • Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.

Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.