Prince William County

Population 502,966 (2025) 335 sq mi

Property owners in Prince William County have filed 485 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 17th most of 133 counties in Virginia.

Hazard fingerprint for Prince William County Tornado: 54th percentile. Tropical: 63th percentile. Wildfire: 19th percentile. Flood: 98th percentile. Hail & wind: 94th percentile. Heat: 87th percentile. Cold: 90th percentile. Winter: 82th percentile. TORTROPFIREFLOODSEVEREHEATCOLDWINTER

Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed

2026
  • Tornado damage paths since 195014
  • Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger35
  • Wildfire burn scars since 19841
  • Major flood years since 19788

At a glance

The record for Prince William County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.

Flood insurance claims

485

17th of 133 in Virginia

$5.8 million paid since 1978

Details

Tropical cyclones within 50 mi

16

56th of 133 in Virginia

2 at hurricane strength since 1851

Details

Tornadoes since 1950

14

16th of 133 in Virginia

2.8 times the typical Virginia county

Details

Acres burned since 1984

816

31st of 133 in Virginia

1 large fire; the largest was Nco, 1999

Details

Strongest tornado

F3

January 26, 1978, 0.7 mile path

Strongest tropical cyclone

Cat. 1

Hurricane (unnamed), 1878, 8.4 miles away

Largest earthquake within 50 mi

5.8magnitude

August 23, 2011, 49.8 miles away

Details

Federal disaster declarations

20

Most recent: Severe Winter Storm, 2026

Details

Tornadoes

About one every 5.4 years since 1950, one of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.

Strongest

January 26, 1978

F3, 0.7 mile path

250 yards wide; 1 killed along the whole path.

Most recent

Saturday, June 20, 2015

EF0, 2.1 mile path

11 years ago.

Tornadoes by decade Doppler radar era² 1950s: 0 1960s: 0 1970s: 1 1 1980s: 1 1 1990s: 2 2 2000s: 5 5 2010s: 5 5 2020s: 0 1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Recorded tornadoes per decade. The 2020s are incomplete.
Tornadoes by month J: 1 F: 0 M: 0 A: 2 M: 1 J: 1 J: 2 A: 0 S: 4 4 O: 3 N: 0 D: 0 JFMAMJJASOND
By month of occurrence, all years.

Every recorded tornado

Tornadoes in Prince William County since 1950
Jun 20, 2015EF02.110000
Oct 13, 2011EF01.67500
Oct 13, 2011EF02.77500
Apr 27, 2011EF15.812500
Apr 27, 2011EF03.35000
Jul 23, 2008EF01.43000
Sep 17, 2004F24.025000
Sep 8, 2004F05.515000
Sep 24, 2001F011.07500
May 22, 2001F01.05000
Oct 14, 1995F00.74000
Sep 27, 1993F23.010020
Jul 21, 1987F00.25000
Jan 26, 1978F30.7250101
  1. Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Prince William County: 1.
  2. Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.

Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

16 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 2 at hurricane strength.

Strongest within 50 miles

October 23, 1878

Unnamed storm, Category 1

8.4 miles at closest approach, winds near 94 mph.

Most recent

July 9, 2021

Elsa, Tropical storm

77.4 miles at closest approach.

Tropical cyclones within 50 miles by decade 50s: 0 60s: 0 70s: 2 80s: 0 90s: 4 4 00s: 0 10s: 1 20s: 0 30s: 1 40s: 3 50s: 3 60s: 0 70s: 1 80s: 0 90s: 0 00s: 0 10s: 0 20s: 1 50s60s70s80s90s00s10s20s30s40s50s60s70s80s90s00s10s20s
Storms within 50 miles, by decade. Records before about 1900 miss storms that never reached land or ships.

Every storm within 100 miles

Tropical cyclones within 100 miles
Elsa202177.4Tropical storm55Category 1
Zeta202030.7Post-tropical52Category 3
Isaias202046.0Tropical storm68Category 1
Andrea201395.9Post-tropical46Tropical storm
Sandy201277.9Post-tropical59Category 3
Hanna200857.0Tropical storm52Category 1
Ernesto200628.3Post-tropical46Category 1
Gaston200496.7Tropical storm40Category 1
Isabel200365.8Tropical storm60Category 5
Bertha199665.2Tropical storm69Category 3
Danielle199282.1Tropical storm44Tropical storm
David197948.7Tropical storm46Category 5
Doria197199.3Tropical storm69Tropical storm
Brenda196088.5Tropical storm58Tropical storm
Diane19558.9Tropical storm44Category 2
Connie195540.2Tropical storm60Category 4
Hazel19540.0Post-tropical84Category 4
Able19526.9Tropical storm55Category 2
Unnamed194914.5Tropical storm58Category 4
Unnamed194521.7Post-tropical40Category 4
Unnamed194489.4Post-tropical46Category 4
Unnamed194436.4Tropical storm40Category 1
Unnamed194331.9Tropical storm49Tropical storm
Unnamed193413.3Post-tropical46Category 2
Unnamed19333.2Tropical storm63Category 4
Unnamed192919.2Post-tropical58Category 4
Unnamed19281.9Post-tropical52Category 5
Unnamed192858.2Post-tropical48Category 2
Unnamed191699.1Post-tropical48Tropical storm
Unnamed19159.3Tropical storm47Category 1
Unnamed190473.1Tropical storm69Category 1
Unnamed190249.4Post-tropical40Category 2
Unnamed190275.1Post-tropical46Tropical storm
Unnamed189922.0Post-tropical58Category 2
Unnamed189648.5Tropical storm71Category 3
Unnamed189338.1Tropical storm44Tropical storm
Unnamed189322.9Category 175Category 3
Unnamed18939.1Tropical storm63Category 3
Unnamed188857.8Tropical storm40Tropical storm
Unnamed188887.8Tropical storm48Category 3
Unnamed188682.1Tropical storm40Category 2
Unnamed188518.7Post-tropical46Tropical storm
Unnamed188297.9Tropical storm46Tropical storm
Unnamed188276.2Tropical storm52Category 3
Unnamed18788.4Category 194Category 2
Unnamed187891.2Post-tropical58Category 2
Unnamed187767.9Post-tropical63Category 3
Unnamed18760.0Tropical storm67Category 3
Unnamed187472.5Tropical storm58Category 1
Unnamed187269.6Tropical storm46Category 1
Unnamed186388.1Tropical storm58Tropical storm
Unnamed186198.7Tropical storm69Category 1
Unnamed185982.0Tropical storm61Category 1
  1. Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.

National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.

Wildfire and smoke

816 acres burned in 1 large fire since 1984, equal to 0.4% of the land.

Largest

April 14, 1999

Nco Fire, 818 acres

816 acres inside Prince William County.

Most recent

April 14, 1999

Nco Fire

818 acres in total.

Acres burned since 1984, cumulative 1999: 816 816 acres 198519901995200020052010201520202025
Running total of acres burned inside the county (line) and each year’s acres (bars).

Every large fire

Large wildfires since 1984
Nco1999816818
  1. Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.

Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.

Smoke overhead

Smokiest year

2023: 49 days

Heavy smoke on 11 days in 2023, the most of any year.

Last 10 years

11.9 days a year

Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.

2025

13 days

Medium or heavy smoke. 28 so far in 2026.

Days with medium or heavy smoke overhead, by year 2011: 0 2012: 4 2013: 0 2014: 4 2015: 7 2016: 0 2017: 1 2018: 3 2019: 3 2020: 7 2021: 23 2022: 9 2023: 49 49 2024: 11 2025: 13 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Days each year on which a satellite-traced plume of medium or heavy smoke covered the county’s population centre, 2011 to 2025.
  1. A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.

NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Floods and flood insurance

485 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $5.8 million paid.

Federal flood insurance claims by year 1978: 10 1979: 17 1984: 5 1985: 6 1986: 24 1989: 14 1993: 13 1996: 27 1999: 5 2002: 6 2003: 28 2005: 6 2006: 26 2008: 37 2009: 7 2010: 7 2011: 58 58 2012: 10 2013: 7 2014: 31 2015: 10 2016: 7 2017: 12 2018: 32 2019: 8 2020: 27 197819892003201020152020
Claims per year since 1978. Years with fewer than five claims are not shown.

Most claims in one year

2011: 58 claims

$649,000 paid.

2nd most

2008: 37 claims

$625,000 paid.

3rd most

2018: 32 claims

$358,000 paid.

Claims by ZIP code

Flood insurance claims by ZIP code
20111119$1.2 million
22191112$3.1 million
2219343$307,000
2010939$192,000
2011229$374,000
2219225$59,000
2202520$69,000
2212516$40,000
2016915$28,000
2202613$66,000
2015512$98,000
2217210$73,000
2013610$6,946
201109$39,000
201815$158,000

Flood events since 1996

  • Flood186
  • Flash Flood88
  • Heavy Rain15

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.

River crests

Most severe crest

August 13, 2020

South Fork Quantico Creek near Independent Hill, 12.04 ft

3.04 feet above the 9.0 ft flood stage; moderate flooding by today’s categories.

Most recent moderate or major crest

August 13, 2020

South Fork Quantico Creek near Independent Hill, 12.04 ft

Moderate flooding.

Highest river crests above flood stage
Aug 13, 2020South Fork Quantico Creek near Independent Hill12.04+3.04Moderate
May 6, 1989South Fork Quantico Creek near Independent Hill11.62+2.62Moderate
Jun 21, 1972South Fork Quantico Creek near Independent Hill11.35+2.35Moderate
Jul 17, 2025Broad Run near Bristow14.89+5.39Minor
Jan 10, 2024Broad Run near Bristow14.53+5.03Minor
Jul 22, 2018Broad Run near Bristow14.20+4.70Minor
Mar 22, 2019Broad Run near Bristow13.99+4.49Minor
Aug 22, 2018Broad Run near Bristow13.42+3.92Minor
Dec 16, 2018Broad Run near Bristow13.35+3.85Minor
Dec 23, 2022Broad Run near Bristow13.29+3.79Minor
Jan 10, 2024Cedar Run near Aden13.51+3.51Minor
Sep 28, 2018Broad Run near Bristow12.89+3.39Minor
Jul 17, 2025Little Bull Run at Artemus Road7.88+3.38Minor
Aug 1, 2018Cedar Run near Aden12.95+2.95Minor
Apr 16, 2018Broad Run near Bristow12.44+2.94Minor
Jan 10, 2024Little Bull Run at Artemus Road7.34+2.84Minor
Aug 12, 2017Broad Run near Bristow12.07+2.57Minor
Jul 6, 2017Broad Run near Bristow12.06+2.56Minor
Jul 17, 2025Cedar Run near Aden12.11+2.11Minor
Dec 18, 2023Little Bull Run at Artemus Road6.52+2.02Minor
Aug 1, 2018Broad Run near Bristow11.43+1.93Minor
Sep 26, 1975South Fork Quantico Creek near Independent Hill10.88+1.88Minor
Dec 16, 2018Cedar Run near Aden11.80+1.80Minor
Jul 17, 2025Kettle Run at Bristow Manor GC8.15+1.65Minor
Jun 27, 2025Kettle Run at Bristow Manor GC8.07+1.57Minor

River gauges

River gauges and their highest listed crests
Broad Run at Nokesville Road (VA-28)11.0——0
Broad Run near Bristow9.514.89 ftJul 17, 20250
Cedar Run near Aden10.013.51 ftJan 10, 20240
Kettle Run at Bristow Manor GC6.58.15 ftJul 17, 20250
Little Bull Run at Artemus Road4.57.88 ftJul 17, 20250
Little Creek at US-110.5——0
Potomac River at Leesylvania State Park5.0——0
Purcell Branch at Purcell Road6.5——0
South Fork Quantico Creek near Independent Hill9.012.04 ftAug 13, 20200
Youngs Branch at Manassas Battlefield7.1——0
  1. Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.

NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Drought

In severe drought or worse for 142 of 1,581 months since 1895 (9%); the longest spell lasted 28 months.

142

Months in severe drought or worse since 1895

54

Months in extreme drought

9%

Share of all months, severe or worse

11

Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996

Lowest reading

February 1931

−6.96, extreme drought

Longest severe spell

28 months

June 2024 to September 2026.

Latest month

September 2026

−3.47, severe drought

Months in severe drought or worse, by year 1895: 1 1896: 2 1897: 1 1898: 0 1899: 0 1900: 0 1901: 0 1902: 0 1903: 0 1904: 0 1905: 0 1906: 0 1907: 0 1908: 0 1909: 0 1910: 1 1911: 0 1912: 0 1913: 0 1914: 3 1915: 0 1916: 0 1917: 0 1918: 0 1919: 0 1920: 0 1921: 0 1922: 0 1923: 0 1924: 0 1925: 0 1926: 0 1927: 0 1928: 0 1929: 0 1930: 6 1931: 9 1932: 0 1933: 0 1934: 0 1935: 0 1936: 0 1937: 0 1938: 0 1939: 0 1940: 0 1941: 3 1942: 4 1943: 0 1944: 0 1945: 0 1946: 0 1947: 0 1948: 0 1949: 0 1950: 0 1951: 0 1952: 0 1953: 0 1954: 2 1955: 1 1956: 0 1957: 0 1958: 0 1959: 0 1960: 0 1961: 0 1962: 0 1963: 1 1964: 0 1965: 2 1966: 7 1967: 0 1968: 0 1969: 0 1970: 0 1971: 0 1972: 0 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 0 1977: 3 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 5 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 4 1987: 0 1988: 0 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 4 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 3 1999: 6 2000: 0 2001: 0 2002: 9 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 0 2007: 6 2008: 4 2009: 1 2010: 0 2011: 0 2012: 3 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 1 2017: 6 2018: 1 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 1 2022: 4 2023: 10 2024: 7 2025: 12 12 18951905191519251935194519551965197519851995200520152025
Months each year with a Palmer index of −3 or lower, 1895 to 2025. Twelve means the whole year.
  1. The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.

NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.

Earthquakes and landslides

4 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 5.8 in 2011.

0

Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973

9

Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973

4

Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900

1

Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900

Largest within 50 miles

August 23, 2011

Magnitude 5.8

11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia; 49.8 miles away, 3.7 miles deep.

Most recent, magnitude 3 or more

January 17, 2016

Magnitude 3.0

3 km NE of Ranson, West Virginia; 27.6 miles away.

Earthquakes of magnitude 3 or more within 50 miles, by year 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 0 1977: 0 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 0 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 0 1987: 0 1988: 0 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 0 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 0 1999: 0 2000: 0 2001: 0 2002: 0 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 0 2007: 0 2008: 0 2009: 0 2010: 2 2011: 5 5 2012: 1 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 1 2017: 0 2018: 0 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 0 19731978198319881993199820032008201320182023
Per year, 1973 to 2025.

Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles

Earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
Aug 25, 20114.548.34.28 km SW of Mineral, Virginia
Aug 23, 20114.249.90.011 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia
Aug 23, 20115.849.83.711 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia
Apr 9, 19184.638.2—6 km NE of Luray, Virginia
  1. Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
  2. Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).

USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Mapped landslides

1

Landslides mapped, probable or better

1

With a recorded date

1

Source inventory

Mapped by NASA (1).

  1. Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.

USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.

Severe weather and other events

1,122 events in the National Weather Service record, 1,072 of them since 1996.

67

Hail reports, 1 inch or larger

3

Hail, 2 inches or larger

283

Damaging gusts, 58 mph+

147

Winter weather events since 1996

59

Heat events since 1996

48

Cold events since 1996

Largest hail

May 2, 2016

2.25 inches

Strongest measured or estimated gust

August 4, 1983

90 mph

More event types since 1996

Other Storm Events types since 1996
Storm surge and tide200Sep 1, 2006
Lightning805Jun 2, 2019
Dust storms and dust devils100Apr 6, 1998
Dense fog and smoke7800May 17, 2021

Costliest events since 1996

  1. Jul 29, 2023Thunderstorm Wind$3.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Dozens of large trees, branches and wires blew down just outside the City of Manassas Park, including many onto cars and houses. Numerous trees and large tree limbs blew down in the 7500 block of Allegheny Road.

  2. Aug 3, 2002Thunderstorm Wind$1.5 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    A wind gust of 67 MPH damaged planes and buildings at the airport.

  3. Apr 23, 1999Hail$1.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    A line of thunderstorms developed in West Virginia during the early afternoon and moved rapidly southeast across Northern Virginia. These storms produced very large hail in a 10 mile wide strip from Winchester in Frederick County to Woodbridge in Prince William County from 3:30 PM EDT to 5:00 PM EDT. Winds over 55 MPH also downed trees and power lines in Frederick and Clarke County between 3:30 PM EDT and 4:15 PM EDT. Frederick County spotters reported between 1 3/4 to 3 1/2 inch diameter hail. The rubber membrane roof of the War Memorial Building in Winchester was punctured by hail the size of golf balls, allowing heavy rain to fall inside the structure and cause significant…

  4. Sep 17, 2004Tornado$1.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    A tornadic thunderstorm moved through central Prince William County. This is the same storm that produced damage earlier in Stafford County. The initial touchdown in Prince William County was west of Dale City, near Independent Hill and Dumfries Road. The storm snapped or uprooted many large hardwood trees. Some of the trees fell on houses and other structures. The storm lifted and then reformed for the second touchdown in Manassas. Several homes suffered roof and shingle damage. An automobile was moved several feet. Damaged also occurred in Manassas Park and in Yorkshire Village. This tornado continued north into Fairfax County.

  5. Jul 29, 2023Thunderstorm Wind$1.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Dozens of large trees, branches, and wires blew down near Independent Hill, Woodbine, Canova, and Riverview Estates, including some onto cars and houses. Numerous trees blew down on northbound VA-234 Dumfries Road in the vicinity of VA-695 Sinclair Mill Road.

  6. May 16, 2022Thunderstorm Wind$1.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Dozens of trees, wires, and branches blew down in Lake Ridge, including about ten trees that fell onto houses. A tree blew down onto a house in the 12000 block of Mulberry Court, crushing the garage. A tree blew down onto a house in the 2000 block of Pembroke Court. Eight to ten large trees were uprooted near the intersection of Springwoods Drive and Old Bridge Road.

  7. Apr 23, 1999Hail$1.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    A line of thunderstorms developed in West Virginia during the early afternoon and moved rapidly southeast across Northern Virginia. These storms produced very large hail in a 10 mile wide strip from Winchester in Frederick County to Woodbridge in Prince William County from 3:30 PM EDT to 5:00 PM EDT. Winds over 55 MPH also downed trees and power lines in Frederick and Clarke County between 3:30 PM EDT and 4:15 PM EDT. Frederick County spotters reported between 1 3/4 to 3 1/2 inch diameter hail. The rubber membrane roof of the War Memorial Building in Winchester was punctured by hail the size of golf balls, allowing heavy rain to fall inside the structure and cause significant…

  8. Sep 6, 1996Storm Surge/Tide$500,000
  9. Jul 29, 2023Thunderstorm Wind$250,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Trees blew down around Montclair, including one onto a residence in the 15000 block of Holly Hill Drive killing the resident inside.

  10. Jun 9, 2018Flood$200,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    The combination of a clogged drain and heavy rainfall caused a retention pond to overflow at the Jiffy Lube Live concert venue during a concert. Overland flow flooded a portion of Wellington Road near the venue, and rising standing water flooded several dozen vehicles parked on the grounds.

  1. Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.

Weather records

From Washington Dulles International Airport, 16.9 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1960.

All-time high
105°FJul 22, 2011
All-time low
−18°FJan 22, 1984
Warmest night
81°FJul 16, 2026
Coldest day
6°FJan 19, 1994
Wettest day
10.67 inJun 21, 1972
Snowiest day
22.5 inFeb 11, 1983
Hottest year
2024mean 58.9°F
Coldest year
1976mean 51.9°F
Wettest year
201866.74 in
Driest year
200727.02 in
Snowiest season
73.2 in2009-10
Average monthly high and low temperature and precipitation, last 30 years, Washington Dulles International Airport 32°F 43° 25° 2.9 Jan 47° 27° 2.6 Feb 56° 34° 3.1 Mar 67° 44° 3.3 Apr 75° 53° 4.9 May 84° 62° 4.2 Jun 88° 67° 4.1 Jul 86° 66° 3.6 Aug 80° 59° 3.9 Sep 69° 46° 3.5 Oct 57° 36° 2.7 Nov 47° 29° 3.2 Dec Precipitation, inches
Average daily high and low by month, and average monthly precipitation, over the last 30 years.
Days reaching 95°F per year 1976: 1 1977: 11 1978: 4 1979: 3 1980: 21 1981: 3 1982: 4 1983: 13 1984: 0 1985: 11 1986: 15 1987: 14 1988: 21 1989: 2 1990: 3 1991: 21 1992: 2 1993: 23 23 1994: 6 1995: 12 1996: 0 1997: 8 1998: 12 1999: 17 2000: 0 2001: 3 2002: 15 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 5 2006: 9 2007: 17 2008: 3 2009: 5 2010: 19 2011: 15 2012: 15 2013: 2 2014: 1 2015: 0 2016: 17 2017: 1 2018: 3 2019: 13 2020: 10 2021: 10 2022: 4 2023: 10 2024: 23 2025: 7 19761986199620062016
Days reaching 95°F each complete year, last 50 years. Thirty-year average: 8.1.
Snowfall by winter 1976: 10.6 in 1977: 27.4 in 1978: 40.6 in 1979: 26.8 in 1980: 4.4 in 1981: 29.5 in 1982: 39.2 in 1983: 22.4 in 1984: 14.8 in 1985: 18.1 in 1986: 42.7 in 1987: 16.7 in 1988: 9.9 in 1989: 29.2 in 1990: 14.6 in 1991: 6.7 in 1992: 30.3 in 1993: 19.4 in 1994: 14.0 in 1995: 61.9 in 1996: 17.8 in 1997: 5.9 in 1998: 20.2 in 1999: 23.2 in 2000: 12.9 in 2001: 2.6 in 2002: 50.1 in 2003: 17.4 in 2004: 17.3 in 2005: 14.1 in 2006: 14.7 in 2007: 6.5 in 2008: 8.0 in 2009: 73.2 in 73.2 2010: 12.6 in 2011: 3.7 in 2012: 12.7 in 2013: 52.8 in 2014: 36.9 in 2015: 34.3 in 2016: 7.3 in 2017: 11.9 in 2018: 26.5 in 2019: 2.9 in 2020: 12.0 in 2021: 15.8 in 2022: 0.4 in 2023: 11.7 in 2024: 15.5 in 2025: 13.6 in 19761986199620062016
Total snowfall each winter (July to June), last 50 winters.

Median first snow

December 10

Earliest: October 10, 1979

Median last snow

March 14

Latest: April 12, 1973

0 of 63 winters had no measurable snow.

Station Washington Dulles International Airport (USW00093738), 294 ft elevation, 16.9 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1960 to October 26, 2026; 100.0% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.

NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.

Federal disaster declarations

20 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 23, 2026.

Federal disaster declarations
Jan 23, 2026Winter StormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3631-VA
Apr 2, 2020BiologicalCovid-19 PandemicMajor disasterDR-4512-VA
Mar 13, 2020BiologicalCovid-19EmergencyEM-3448-VA
Sep 11, 2018HurricaneHurricane FlorenceEmergencyEM-3403-VA
Mar 7, 2016SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disasterDR-4262-VA
Nov 26, 2012HurricaneHurricane SandyMajor disasterDR-4092-VA
Oct 29, 2012HurricaneHurricane SandyEmergencyEM-3359-VA
Nov 17, 2011Severe StormThe Remnants of Tropical Storm LeeMajor disasterDR-4045-VA
Apr 27, 2010SnowstormSevere Winter Storms and SnowstormsMajor disasterDR-1905-VA
Feb 16, 2010SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disasterDR-1874-VA
Sep 12, 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergencyEM-3240-VA
Sep 18, 2003HurricaneHurricane IsabelMajor disasterDR-1491-VA
Mar 27, 2003Severe StormSevere Winter Storm, Record/Near Record Snowfall, Heavy Rain,Floodind, and MudslideMajor disasterDR-1458-VA
Feb 28, 2000Severe StormSevere Winter StormsMajor disasterDR-1318-VA
Sep 6, 1996HurricaneHurricane Fran and Associated Severe Storm CondMajor disasterDR-1135-VA
Jan 13, 1996SnowstormBlizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disasterDR-1086-VA
Mar 25, 1993SnowstormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3112-VA
Jul 23, 1977DroughtDroughtEmergencyEM-3046-VA
Jan 26, 1977FreezingIce ConditionsMajor disasterDR-525-VA
Jun 23, 1972FloodTropical Storm AgnesMajor disasterDR-339-VA

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.

How this compares

Where Prince William County stands among 133 counties in Virginia and 3,143 in the United States.

Ranks
Tornadoes since 19501416 / 1331,935 / 3,143
Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger112 / 1331,281 / 3,143
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi1656 / 133586 / 3,143
Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi235 / 133454 / 3,143
Wildfire acres since 198481631 / 1331,350 / 3,143
Flood insurance claims48517 / 133510 / 3,143
Flood insurance paid$5.8 million26 / 133658 / 3,143
Disaster declarations2069 / 1331,524 / 3,143
Flood events since 19962892 / 13368 / 3,143
Hail and wind events since 199641912 / 133665 / 3,143
Winter storm events since 199614723 / 133544 / 3,143
Reported damage since 1996$13.2 million51 / 1331,781 / 3,143
River crests at major flood stage0——
High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years0.0——
Months in severe drought since 18951422 / 1331,133 / 3,143
Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years11.923 / 1332,174 / 3,143
Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900444 / 133793 / 3,143
Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 19730——

Neighbouring counties

Neighbouring counties
Fairfax County221401,488
Fauquier County2815033
Loudoun County30140168
Manassas Park city01205
Manassas city112025
Stafford County18160164

Sources and vintage

Every number on this page comes from these public records.

  • Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
  • Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
  • Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
  • Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
  • Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
  • Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00093738.
  • River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
  • Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
  • Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.

Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.