Rappahannock County
Population 7,439 (2025) 266 sq mi
Property owners in Rappahannock County have filed 9 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 114th most of 133 counties in Virginia.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 19504
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger20
- Wildfire burn scars since 19842
At a glance
The record for Rappahannock County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi
12
74th of 133 in Virginia
2 at hurricane strength since 1851
DetailsAcres burned since 1984
857
29th of 133 in Virginia
2 large fires; the largest was Smith Run Fire, 2011
DetailsTornadoes since 1950
4
75th of 133 in Virginia
Fewer than the typical Virginia county, which has had 5
DetailsStrongest tornado
F2
June 19, 1978, 0.2 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
Cat. 1
Hurricane (unnamed), 1878, 44.8 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 19 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
June 19, 1978
F2, 0.2 mile path
40 yards wide.
Most recent
Wednesday, July 23, 2008
EF0, 1.2 mile path
18 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Jul 23, 2008 | EF0 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 30, 2005 | F0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 14, 1980 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 19, 1978 | F2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Rappahannock County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
12 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 2 at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
October 23, 1878
Unnamed storm, Category 1
44.8 miles at closest approach, winds near 92 mph.
Most recent
October 29, 2020
Zeta, Post-tropical
49.8 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
| Zeta | 2020 | 49.8 | Post-tropical |
| Isaias | 2020 | 83.1 | Tropical storm |
| Sandy | 2012 | 87.1 | Post-tropical |
| Hanna | 2008 | 91.2 | Tropical storm |
| Ernesto | 2006 | 66.7 | Post-tropical |
| Isabel | 2003 | 30.6 | Tropical storm |
| David | 1979 | 23.1 | Tropical storm |
| Diane | 1955 | 0.0 | Tropical storm |
| Connie | 1955 | 76.4 | Tropical storm |
| Hazel | 1954 | 21.1 | Post-tropical |
| Able | 1952 | 2.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1949 | 0.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1945 | 57.5 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1944 | 65.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1943 | 69.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1934 | 9.7 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1933 | 39.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1929 | 57.5 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 14.6 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 80.8 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1915 | 11.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 64.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1899 | 59.7 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1896 | 18.3 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 60.5 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 0.0 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 5.5 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1888 | 92.3 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1888 | 85.5 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1885 | 0.0 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 44.8 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 60.9 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1876 | 27.4 | Tropical storm |
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
857 acres burned in 2 large fires since 1984, equal to 0.5% of the land.
Largest
February 19, 2011
Smith Run Fire, 1,911 acres
676 acres inside Rappahannock County.
Most recent
March 20, 2024
Rocky Branch Fire
1,019 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Rocky Branch | 2024 | 180 | 1,019 |
| Smith Run Fire | 2011 | 676 | 1,911 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 51 days
Heavy smoke on 12 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
12.2 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
11 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 28 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
9 federal flood insurance claims since 1984, with $17,000 paid.
Flood events since 1996
- Flood43
- Flash Flood30
- Heavy Rain20
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
June 27, 1995
Battle Run near Laurel Mills, 14.40 ft
3.40 feet above the 11.0 ft flood stage; minor flooding by today’s categories.
River gauges
| Battle Run near Laurel Mills | 11.0 | 14.40 ft | 0 |
| N.F. Thornton River at Lee Highway | 12.0 | — | 0 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 90 of 1,581 months since 1895 (6%); the longest spell lasted 20 months.
90
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
20
Months in extreme drought
6%
Share of all months, severe or worse
11
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
February 1931
−6.49, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
20 months
July 1930 to February 1932.
Latest month
September 2026
−1.69, mild drought
Last severe month: April 2025.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
5 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 5.8 in 2011.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
12
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
5
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
1
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
August 23, 2011
11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia; 44.2 miles away, 3.7 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
January 17, 2016
Magnitude 3.0
3 km NE of Ranson, West Virginia; 35.3 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Aug 25, 2011 | 4.5 | 41.2 |
| Aug 23, 2011 | 4.2 | 43.6 |
| Aug 23, 2011 | 5.8 | 44.2 |
| Aug 17, 1984 | 4.2 | 45.6 |
| Apr 9, 1918 | 4.6 | 3.7 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
813 events in the National Weather Service record, 797 of them since 1996.
16
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
0
Hail, 2 inches or larger
135
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
285
Winter weather events since 1996
38
Heat events since 1996
93
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
May 13, 2000
1.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
June 29, 2012
70 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 2 | 0 |
| Dense fog and smoke | 70 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Sep 6, 1996Flood, Rappahannock$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
The rapid runoff produced by the heavy rains from Fran caused substantial, damaging, and in some cases record river flooding across much of the northern Virginia watershed from late on the 6th until early on the 10th. Flash flooding on the 6th rapidly became river flooding late on the 6th along the headwaters of the Potomac, Shenandoah, and Rappahannock River basins, and continued throughout the basins over the weekend and into early the following week. Crests at gaging points in these basins were similar to those in January 1996 across the Lower Main Stem of the Potomac. Levels were 1 to 5 feet higher across the Upper Main Stem Potomac and Rappahannock Rivers. The Shenandoah…
- Jul 21, 2026Tornado$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
A tornado briefly touched down as a supercell thunderstorm crossed the Thorton Gap entrance to Shenandoah National Park near the intersection of Skyline Drive and US-211 Lee Highway. Numerous trees and large branches were snapped in a convergent manner from near the top of the ridgeline to a couple miles on the lee side of the ridge. Several metal signs were blown over at the Thorton Gap entrance. The tornado dissipated in the woods prior to reaching Sperryville. KLWX radar indicated rotation co-located with a tornadic debris signature as the storm crossed this location.
- Sep 6, 1996Flash Flood$300,000
- Jan 14, 2006High Wind, Rappahannock$60,000
National Weather Service narrative
Very strong winds developed on the 14th due to a strengthening low pressure system off the Mid Atlantic Coast and a fast moving cold front that passed through the region early in the day. Widespread damages and power outages occurred, with newspaper reports indicating tens of thousands without power for an extended period of time.
- Aug 30, 2005Tornado$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
The National Weather Service surveyed wind damage in eastern Rappahannock County near Viewpoint, to just west of Amissville. A small tornado touched down initially near Routes 640 and 642 in Viewpoint, where metal roofing was peeled off a farm outbuilding, and a few small trees were knocked down. Along the path, mainly scattered F0 tree damage was found. The tornado crossed U.S. Route 211, about 2 miles west of Amissville before lifting near Jefferson Mountain. This tornado has been rated an F0 on the Fujita Scale.
- Sep 18, 2003High Wind, Rappahannock$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
By 9 pm on September 18, a rain band associated with Isabel had set up over the Shenandoah Valley and showers were training southward into the Blue Ridge Mountains on the east side of Augusta County. The rain gauge located at Upper Sherando had recorded over 6 inches of rain and more was to come. County officials quickly began evacuations of homes downstream. In all 350 people in the South River area would be evacuated and 21 of those ended up being by boat. Water flowed down the Black Creek at 60 mph washing out the bridge and several hundred feet of asphalt along Route 608. Four spillways to dams flooded causing damage but none of them failed. There was $125,000 damage to the…
- Apr 2, 2005Flash Flood$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
Route 522 north near Flint Hill flooded with cars stranded
- May 4, 1996Thunderstorm Wind$40,000
National Weather Service narrative
Wind gusts estimated at 60 mph (Skywarn spotter report) knocked down trees and power lines in the Sperryville area. A rooftop tent was blown off of a country inn, and a barn reportedly collapsed from the winds in Nethers.
- Aug 4, 2022Thunderstorm Wind$30,000
National Weather Service narrative
Numerous trees and wires blew down around Flint Hill. At least seven trees blew down onto VA-637 Jericho Road between US-522 Zachary Taylor Highway and North Poes Road, especially near Fox Hall Farm Lane; one tree fell onto wires bringing down a pole. A tree blew down blocking the roadway on US-522 Zachary Taylor Highway near VA-641 Aileen Road. A tree also blew down in the 100 block of Grimsley Road.
- Oct 29, 2012High Wind, Rappahannock$30,000
National Weather Service narrative
Wind gusts of 58 mph were estimated based on nearby observations. There were numerous trees down mostly in the northeastern part of the county. Two houses had their roofs blown off.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Sperryville, 6.2 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1995.
- All-time high
- 104°FJul 7, 1999
- All-time low
- −8°FFeb 5, 1996
- Warmest night
- 77°FJul 6, 1999
- Coldest day
- 17°FFeb 17, 2015
- Wettest day
- 5.49 inSep 7, 1996
- Snowiest day
- 22.0 inJan 8, 1996
- Hottest year
- 2020mean 56.4°F
- Coldest year
- 2022mean 53.4°F
- Wettest year
- 201894.43 in
- Driest year
- 200737.16 in
Station Sperryville (USC00447985), 750 ft elevation, 6.2 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1995 to October 21, 2026; 87.9% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
25 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 23, 2026.
| Jan 23, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3631-VA |
| Mar 11, 2022 | Severe Storm | DR-4644-VA |
| Apr 2, 2020 | Biological | DR-4512-VA |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3448-VA |
| Dec 18, 2018 | Hurricane | DR-4411-VA |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Hurricane | EM-3403-VA |
| Mar 7, 2016 | Snowstorm | DR-4262-VA |
| Nov 26, 2012 | Hurricane | DR-4092-VA |
| Oct 29, 2012 | Hurricane | EM-3359-VA |
| Jul 27, 2012 | Severe Storm | DR-4072-VA |
| Apr 27, 2010 | Snowstorm | DR-1905-VA |
| Jul 13, 2006 | Severe Storm | DR-1655-VA |
| Sep 12, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3240-VA |
| Sep 18, 2003 | Hurricane | DR-1491-VA |
| Mar 27, 2003 | Severe Storm | DR-1458-VA |
| Feb 28, 2000 | Severe Storm | DR-1318-VA |
| Sep 6, 1996 | Hurricane | DR-1135-VA |
| Jan 27, 1996 | Flood | DR-1098-VA |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1086-VA |
| Jul 1, 1995 | Severe Storm | DR-1059-VA |
| Apr 11, 1994 | Severe Storm | DR-1021-VA |
| Mar 25, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3112-VA |
| May 19, 1992 | Flood | DR-944-VA |
| Jul 23, 1977 | Drought | EM-3046-VA |
| Jun 23, 1972 | Flood | DR-339-VA |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Rappahannock County stands among 133 counties in Virginia and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 4 | 75 / 133 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 12 | 74 / 133 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 2 | 35 / 133 |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 857 | 29 / 133 |
| Flood insurance claims | 9 | 114 / 133 |
| Flood insurance paid | $17,000 | 125 / 133 |
| Disaster declarations | 25 | 10 / 133 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 93 | 40 / 133 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 203 | 56 / 133 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 285 | 6 / 133 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $2.2 million | 109 / 133 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 90 | 81 / 133 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 12.2 | 8 / 133 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 5 | 40 / 133 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Culpeper County | 10 | 13 |
| Fauquier County | 28 | 15 |
| Madison County | 9 | 10 |
| Page County | 4 | 11 |
| Warren County | 4 | 12 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00447985.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.