Madison County
Population 14,237 (2025) 321 sq mi
Property owners in Madison County have filed 19 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 103rd most of 133 counties in Virginia.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 19509
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger28
- Wildfire burn scars since 19841
At a glance
The record for Madison County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi
10
91st of 133 in Virginia
1 at hurricane strength since 1851
DetailsAcres burned since 1984
4,045
17th of 133 in Virginia
1 large fire; the largest was Quaker Run, 2023
DetailsStrongest tornado
F3
March 21, 1976, 5.6 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
Cat. 1
Hurricane (unnamed), 1893, 10.3 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 8.4 years since 1950, one of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
March 21, 1976
F3, 5.6 mile path
33 yards wide.
Most recent
Tuesday, August 30, 2005
F0, 0.5 mile path
21 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Aug 30, 2005 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 2, 2004 | F1 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 9, 2000 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 10, 1997 | F1 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 22, 1992 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 12, 1976 | F2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 21, 1976 | F3 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 |
| May 17, 1960 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Madison County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
10 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 1 at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
October 13, 1893
Unnamed storm, Category 1
10.3 miles at closest approach, winds near 78 mph.
Most recent
July 9, 2021
Elsa, Tropical storm
98.8 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
| Elsa | 2021 | 98.8 | Tropical storm |
| Zeta | 2020 | 29.7 | Post-tropical |
| Isaias | 2020 | 82.2 | Tropical storm |
| Hanna | 2008 | 83.6 | Tropical storm |
| Ernesto | 2006 | 75.0 | Post-tropical |
| Isabel | 2003 | 15.8 | Tropical storm |
| Bertha | 1996 | 99.4 | Tropical storm |
| David | 1979 | 23.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1963 | 96.5 | Tropical storm |
| Diane | 1955 | 0.0 | Tropical storm |
| Connie | 1955 | 89.5 | Tropical storm |
| Hazel | 1954 | 23.8 | Post-tropical |
| Able | 1952 | 0.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1949 | 7.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1945 | 47.4 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1944 | 51.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1943 | 81.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1934 | 16.9 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1933 | 52.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1929 | 53.8 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 26.0 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 64.7 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1915 | 5.3 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1904 | 98.6 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 45.2 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 90.9 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1899 | 55.6 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1896 | 18.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 80.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 10.3 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 0.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1888 | 81.3 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1888 | 96.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1886 | 96.6 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1885 | 1.9 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1882 | 87.3 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 50.3 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 55.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1877 | 91.9 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1876 | 39.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1859 | 93.7 | Tropical storm |
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
4,045 acres burned in 1 large fire since 1984, equal to 2.0% of the land.
Largest
October 26, 2023
Quaker Run Fire, 4,047 acres
4,044 acres inside Madison County.
Most recent
October 26, 2023
Quaker Run Fire
4,047 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Quaker Run | 2023 | 4,044 | 4,047 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 50 days
Heavy smoke on 14 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
11.8 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
12 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 29 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
19 federal flood insurance claims since 1985, with $128,000 paid.
Most claims in one year
1996: 9 claims
$50,000 paid.
2nd most
1995: 7 claims
$59,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 22727 | 11 | $93,000 |
| 22743 | 6 | $31,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flood101
- Flash Flood44
- Heavy Rain14
1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
September 6, 1996
Robinson River near Locust Dale, 23.92 ft
12.92 feet above the 11.0 ft flood stage; moderate flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
May 14, 2025
Robinson River near Locust Dale, 17.48 ft
Moderate flooding.
River gauges
| Hughes River at F.T. Valley Road | 10.5 | — | 0 |
| Rapidan River near Ruckersville | 14.0 | 31.30 ft | 0 |
| Robinson River at Quaker Run Road | 9.5 | — | 0 |
| Robinson River at US 29 | 11.0 | — | 0 |
| Robinson River near Locust Dale | 11.0 | 23.92 ft | 0 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 74 of 1,581 months since 1895 (5%); the longest spell lasted 12 months.
74
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
15
Months in extreme drought
5%
Share of all months, severe or worse
11
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
January 1931
−6.10, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
12 months
July 1930 to June 1931.
Latest month
September 2026
−2.58, moderate drought
Last severe month: July 2026.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
7 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 5.8 in 2011.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
17
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
7
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
1
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
August 23, 2011
11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia; 27.0 miles away, 3.7 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
May 21, 2014
Magnitude 3.1
15 km ENE of Cumberland, Virginia; 49.1 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Aug 25, 2011 | 4.5 | 24.0 |
| Aug 23, 2011 | 4.2 | 26.2 |
| Aug 23, 2011 | 5.8 | 27.0 |
| Dec 9, 2003 | 4.5 | 32.2 |
| Aug 17, 1984 | 4.2 | 25.4 |
| Apr 9, 1918 | 4.6 | 6.0 |
| Feb 11, 1907 | 4.0 | 36.9 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
904 events in the National Weather Service record, 890 of them since 1996.
16
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
1
Hail, 2 inches or larger
165
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
278
Winter weather events since 1996
34
Heat events since 1996
95
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
June 16, 1998
2.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
August 7, 2023
81 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 2 | 0 |
| Dense fog and smoke | 71 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Sep 6, 1996Flood, Madison$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
The rapid runoff produced by the heavy rains from Fran caused substantial, damaging, and in some cases record river flooding across much of the northern Virginia watershed from late on the 6th until early on the 10th. Flash flooding on the 6th rapidly became river flooding late on the 6th along the headwaters of the Potomac, Shenandoah, and Rappahannock River basins, and continued throughout the basins over the weekend and into early the following week. Crests at gaging points in these basins were similar to those in January 1996 across the Lower Main Stem of the Potomac. Levels were 1 to 5 feet higher across the Upper Main Stem Potomac and Rappahannock Rivers. The Shenandoah…
- Sep 6, 1996Flash Flood$400,000
- Sep 18, 2003High Wind, Madison$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
By 9 pm on September 18, a rain band associated with Isabel had set up over the Shenandoah Valley and showers were training southward into the Blue Ridge Mountains on the east side of Augusta County. The rain gauge located at Upper Sherando had recorded over 6 inches of rain and more was to come. County officials quickly began evacuations of homes downstream. In all 350 people in the South River area would be evacuated and 21 of those ended up being by boat. Water flowed down the Black Creek at 60 mph washing out the bridge and several hundred feet of asphalt along Route 608. Four spillways to dams flooded causing damage but none of them failed. There was $125,000 damage to the…
- Sep 17, 2004Tornado$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
A thunderstorm that moved into Madison County from Greene County produced tornado damage near Hood. A number of homes were damaged. One aluminum garage was destroyed and a rock chimney was topped off. The tornado remained on the ground for several miles and tracked northward into the higher terrain of western Madison County. Several large areas of mature mixed forest were almost completely leveled in the Rapidan Wildlife Management Area and the Shenandoah National Park.
- May 30, 2018Flash Flood$107,000
National Weather Service narrative
Major flooding occurred in the Banco, Syria, and Criglersville areas of Madison County.
- Aug 7, 2023Thunderstorm Wind$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Dozens of trees blew down north of Syria, including along Weakley Hollow Road.
- Jan 14, 2006High Wind, Madison$75,000
National Weather Service narrative
Very strong winds developed on the 14th due to a strengthening low pressure system off the Mid Atlantic Coast and a fast moving cold front that passed through the region early in the day. Widespread damages and power outages occurred, with newspaper reports indicating tens of thousands without power for an extended period of time.
- Jun 16, 1998Hail$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
Like a broken record, severe weather erupted again in northern and western Virginia - exactly one day after thunderstorms pounded many of the same areas. This time around, a cold front aided in triggering the episode, though upper-level wind shear was a major player in destabilizing the atmosphere much like it had done the previous day. Incredibly, the 16th would be the third out of four afternoons that severe weather had occurred in some portion of northern and western Virginia.A comma-shaped line of thunderstorms - indicative of a mesoscale low pressure system - developed by the middle of the afternoon. The comma "head" curled from eastern West Virginia into western Maryland,…
- Sep 4, 1996Flash Flood$30,000
- Sep 18, 2003Flash Flood$30,000
National Weather Service narrative
By 9 pm on September 18, a rain band associated with Isabel had set up over the Shenandoah Valley and showers were training southward into the Blue Ridge Mountains on the east side of Augusta County. The rain gauge located at Upper Sherando had recorded over 6 inches of rain and more was to come. County officials quickly began evacuations of homes downstream. In all 350 people in the South River area would be evacuated and 21 of those ended up being by boat. Water flowed down the Black Creek at 60 mph washing out the bridge and several hundred feet of asphalt along Route 608. Four spillways to dams flooded causing damage but none of them failed. There was $125,000 damage to the…
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Charlottesville Albemarle Airport, 20.4 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1955.
- All-time high
- 106°FJul 8, 2012
- All-time low
- −6°FJan 17, 1982
- Warmest night
- 88°FJul 21, 1957
- Coldest day
- 10°FFeb 18, 1979
- Wettest day
- 9.21 inOct 5, 1972
- Snowiest day
- 11.0 inJan 29, 1966
- Hottest year
- 2023mean 60.7°F
- Coldest year
- 1967mean 54.9°F
- Wettest year
- 200368.68 in
- Driest year
- 198814.90 in
Station Charlottesville Albemarle Airport (USW00093736), 631 ft elevation, 20.4 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1955 to October 26, 2026; 99.8% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
24 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 23, 2026.
| Jan 23, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3631-VA |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Tropical Storm | DR-4831-VA |
| Mar 11, 2022 | Severe Storm | DR-4644-VA |
| Apr 2, 2020 | Biological | DR-4512-VA |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3448-VA |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Hurricane | EM-3403-VA |
| Mar 7, 2016 | Snowstorm | DR-4262-VA |
| Nov 26, 2012 | Hurricane | DR-4092-VA |
| Oct 29, 2012 | Hurricane | EM-3359-VA |
| Jul 27, 2012 | Severe Storm | DR-4072-VA |
| Apr 27, 2010 | Snowstorm | DR-1905-VA |
| Feb 16, 2010 | Snowstorm | DR-1874-VA |
| Sep 12, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3240-VA |
| Sep 18, 2003 | Hurricane | DR-1491-VA |
| Feb 28, 2000 | Severe Storm | DR-1318-VA |
| Sep 6, 1996 | Hurricane | DR-1135-VA |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1086-VA |
| Jul 1, 1995 | Severe Storm | DR-1059-VA |
| Apr 11, 1994 | Severe Storm | DR-1021-VA |
| Mar 25, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3112-VA |
| Nov 9, 1985 | Flood | DR-755-VA |
| Jul 23, 1977 | Drought | EM-3046-VA |
| Oct 10, 1972 | Flood | DR-359-VA |
| Jun 23, 1972 | Flood | DR-339-VA |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Madison County stands among 133 counties in Virginia and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 9 | 45 / 133 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 1 | 12 / 133 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 10 | 91 / 133 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 1 | 76 / 133 |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 4,045 | 17 / 133 |
| Flood insurance claims | 19 | 103 / 133 |
| Flood insurance paid | $128,000 | 108 / 133 |
| Disaster declarations | 24 | 19 / 133 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 159 | 13 / 133 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 234 | 42 / 133 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 278 | 7 / 133 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $3.0 million | 104 / 133 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 74 | 124 / 133 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 11.8 | 30 / 133 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 7 | 4 / 133 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Culpeper County | 10 | 13 |
| Greene County | 5 | 10 |
| Orange County | 14 | 13 |
| Page County | 4 | 11 |
| Rappahannock County | 4 | 12 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00093736.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.