Page County

Population 23,762 (2025) 310 sq mi

Property owners in Page County have filed 188 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 41st most of 133 counties in Virginia.

Hazard fingerprint for Page County Tornado: 20th percentile. Tropical: 49th percentile. Wildfire: 80th percentile. Flood: 88th percentile. Hail & wind: 83th percentile. Heat: 80th percentile. Cold: 98th percentile. Winter: 95th percentile. TORTROPFIREFLOODSEVEREHEATCOLDWINTER

Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed

2026
  • Tornado damage paths since 19504
  • Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger18
  • Wildfire burn scars since 198414
  • Major flood years since 19782

At a glance

The record for Page County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.

Flood insurance claims

188

41st of 133 in Virginia

$3.6 million paid since 1979

Details

Acres burned since 1984

25,449

Most of any of Virginia’s 133 counties

14 large fires; the largest was Waterfall Mountain, 2024

Details

Tropical cyclones within 50 mi

11

84th of 133 in Virginia

1 at hurricane strength since 1851

Details

Tornadoes since 1950

4

75th of 133 in Virginia

Fewer than the typical Virginia county, which has had 5

Details

Strongest tornado

F2

August 6, 1960, 0.1 mile path

Strongest tropical cyclone

Cat. 1

Hurricane (unnamed), 1893, 10.8 miles away

Largest earthquake within 50 mi

5.8magnitude

August 23, 2011, 46.3 miles away

Details

Federal disaster declarations

24

Most recent: Severe Winter Storm, 2026

Details

Tornadoes

About one every 19 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.

Strongest

August 6, 1960

F2, 0.1 mile path

10 yards wide.

Most recent

Friday, May 30, 2025

EF0, 0.8 mile path

Within the past year.

Tornadoes by decade Doppler radar era² 1950s: 0 1960s: 1 1 1970s: 0 1980s: 0 1990s: 1 1 2000s: 1 1 2010s: 0 2020s: 1 1 1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Recorded tornadoes per decade. The 2020s are incomplete.
Tornadoes by month J: 0 F: 0 M: 0 A: 0 M: 1 1 J: 1 J: 0 A: 1 S: 1 O: 0 N: 0 D: 0 JFMAMJJASOND
By month of occurrence, all years.

Every recorded tornado

Tornadoes in Page County since 1950
May 30, 2025EF00.87500
Jun 3, 2009EF11.760000
Sep 27, 1993F10.510000
Aug 6, 1960F20.11000
  1. Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Page County: 0.
  2. Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.

Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

11 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 1 at hurricane strength.

Strongest within 50 miles

October 14, 1893

Unnamed storm, Category 1

10.8 miles at closest approach, winds near 75 mph.

Most recent

October 29, 2020

Zeta, Post-tropical

45.7 miles at closest approach.

Tropical cyclones within 50 miles by decade 50s: 0 60s: 0 70s: 2 80s: 0 90s: 3 3 00s: 0 10s: 1 20s: 0 30s: 0 40s: 1 50s: 2 60s: 0 70s: 1 80s: 0 90s: 0 00s: 1 10s: 0 20s: 0 50s60s70s80s90s00s10s20s30s40s50s60s70s80s90s00s10s20s
Storms within 50 miles, by decade. Records before about 1900 miss storms that never reached land or ships.

Every storm within 100 miles

Tropical cyclones within 100 miles
Zeta202045.7Post-tropical52Category 3
Sandy201293.8Post-tropical58Category 3
Ernesto200685.4Post-tropical46Category 1
Isabel200312.8Tropical storm58Category 5
David197911.0Tropical storm46Category 5
Diane19555.9Tropical storm47Category 2
Connie195591.9Tropical storm56Category 4
Hazel195438.8Post-tropical84Category 4
Able19529.6Tropical storm53Category 2
Unnamed19497.1Tropical storm58Category 4
Unnamed194568.7Post-tropical43Category 4
Unnamed194473.0Tropical storm40Category 1
Unnamed194386.8Tropical storm46Tropical storm
Unnamed19343.0Post-tropical46Category 2
Unnamed193358.6Tropical storm63Category 4
Unnamed192975.2Post-tropical58Category 4
Unnamed192829.5Post-tropical52Category 5
Unnamed192882.4Post-tropical43Category 2
Unnamed191522.3Tropical storm46Category 1
Unnamed190262.6Post-tropical40Category 2
Unnamed189975.9Post-tropical58Category 2
Unnamed18969.6Tropical storm71Category 3
Unnamed189371.2Tropical storm43Tropical storm
Unnamed189310.8Category 175Category 3
Unnamed189314.5Tropical storm63Category 3
Unnamed188882.4Tropical storm48Category 3
Unnamed188511.9Post-tropical46Tropical storm
Unnamed187860.6Category 192Category 2
Unnamed187842.2Tropical storm58Category 2
Unnamed187643.6Tropical storm66Category 3
  1. Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.

National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.

Wildfire and smoke

25,449 acres burned in 14 large fires since 1984, equal to 13% of the land.

Largest

March 20, 2024

Waterfall Mountain Fire, 9,253 acres

8,629 acres inside Page County.

Most recent

March 20, 2024

Waterfall Mountain Fire

9,253 acres in total.

Acres burned since 1984, cumulative 1985: 5131988: 6411994: 6101995: 1,3851999: 8382002: 4,6382006: 1,3452008: 7362012: 4,2952019: 2692024: 10,179 25,449 acres 198519901995200020052010201520202025
Running total of acres burned inside the county (line) and each year’s acres (bars).

Every large fire

Large wildfires since 1984
Waterfall Mountain20248,6299,253
Rocky Branch20248381,019
Serenity Ridge Fire2024711880
Kennedy Peak2019269767
Neighbor Mtn Fire20121,9861,985
Shipwreck20122,3093,782
Chicken Ranch2008736736
Cardinal20061,3441,347
Fultz Run20024,6374,640
Dog Slaugh1999837838
Shengap19951,3851,387
Hickoryrun1994609611
Dovel Mtn1988640640
Lucas Fire1985513512
  1. Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.

Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.

Smoke overhead

Smokiest year

2023: 49 days

Heavy smoke on 12 days in 2023, the most of any year.

Last 10 years

11.9 days a year

Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.

2025

12 days

Medium or heavy smoke. 29 so far in 2026.

Days with medium or heavy smoke overhead, by year 2011: 0 2012: 4 2013: 0 2014: 2 2015: 5 2016: 1 2017: 1 2018: 3 2019: 3 2020: 6 2021: 25 2022: 8 2023: 49 49 2024: 11 2025: 12 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Days each year on which a satellite-traced plume of medium or heavy smoke covered the county’s population centre, 2011 to 2025.
  1. A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.

NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Floods and flood insurance

188 federal flood insurance claims since 1979, with $3.6 million paid.

Federal flood insurance claims by year 1985: 20 1996: 122 122 2003: 28 1985
Claims per year since 1979. Years with fewer than five claims are not shown.

Most claims in one year

1996: 122 claims

$2.8 million paid.

2nd most

2003: 28 claims

$336,000 paid.

3rd most

1985: 20 claims

$361,000 paid.

Claims by ZIP code

Flood insurance claims by ZIP code
22835105$2.1 million
2284933$729,000
2285123$184,000
9$267,000
226508$135,000

Flood events since 1996

  • Flood43
  • Flash Flood28
  • Heavy Rain15

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.

River crests

Most severe crest

September 7, 1996

South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray, 26.95 ft

12.95 feet above the 14.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.

Most recent moderate or major crest

September 7, 1996

South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray, 26.95 ft

Major flooding.

Highest river crests above flood stage
Sep 7, 1996South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray26.95+12.95Major
Nov 5, 1985South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray26.72+12.72Major
Oct 16, 1942South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray25.70+11.70Major
Oct 1, 1896South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray25.40+11.40Major
May 1, 1924South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray22.50+8.50Moderate
Jan 20, 1996South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray21.23+7.23Moderate
Jun 18, 1949South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray20.46+6.46Moderate
Sep 20, 2003South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray19.11+5.11Minor
Apr 17, 1987South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray18.50+4.50Minor
Sep 19, 1945South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray18.36+4.36Minor
Aug 17, 1940South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray17.87+3.87Minor
May 23, 1942South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray17.82+3.82Minor
Sep 18, 2018South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray17.63+3.63Minor
Apr 17, 2011South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray17.60+3.60Minor
Mar 5, 1993South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray17.18+3.18Minor
Jan 26, 2010South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray16.88+2.88Minor
Jan 8, 1998South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray16.39+2.39Minor
Apr 22, 1992South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray16.33+2.33Minor
Sep 29, 2004South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray16.24+2.24Minor
Nov 30, 2005South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray15.77+1.77Minor
Sep 6, 1979South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray15.73+1.73Minor
Feb 14, 1984South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray15.62+1.62Minor
Oct 1, 2024South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray15.41+1.41Minor
Jun 3, 2018South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray15.20+1.20Minor
Dec 8, 1950South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray15.18+1.18Minor

River gauges

River gauges and their highest listed crests
South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray14.026.95 ftSep 7, 19964
  1. Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.

NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Drought

In severe drought or worse for 76 of 1,581 months since 1895 (5%); the longest spell lasted 13 months.

76

Months in severe drought or worse since 1895

22

Months in extreme drought

5%

Share of all months, severe or worse

8

Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996

Lowest reading

February 1931

−6.63, extreme drought

Longest severe spell

13 months

July 1930 to July 1931.

Latest month

September 2026

−1.87, mild drought

Last severe month: January 2018.

Months in severe drought or worse, by year 1895: 0 1896: 0 1897: 0 1898: 0 1899: 0 1900: 0 1901: 0 1902: 0 1903: 0 1904: 0 1905: 0 1906: 0 1907: 0 1908: 0 1909: 0 1910: 0 1911: 0 1912: 0 1913: 0 1914: 3 1915: 0 1916: 0 1917: 0 1918: 0 1919: 0 1920: 0 1921: 3 1922: 2 1923: 10 10 1924: 0 1925: 0 1926: 0 1927: 0 1928: 0 1929: 0 1930: 6 1931: 10 1932: 2 1933: 0 1934: 0 1935: 0 1936: 0 1937: 0 1938: 0 1939: 0 1940: 0 1941: 0 1942: 0 1943: 1 1944: 3 1945: 0 1946: 0 1947: 0 1948: 0 1949: 0 1950: 0 1951: 0 1952: 0 1953: 0 1954: 1 1955: 0 1956: 0 1957: 0 1958: 0 1959: 0 1960: 0 1961: 0 1962: 0 1963: 1 1964: 2 1965: 3 1966: 8 1967: 0 1968: 0 1969: 0 1970: 0 1971: 0 1972: 0 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 0 1977: 5 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 0 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 2 1987: 0 1988: 0 1989: 2 1990: 0 1991: 2 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 3 1999: 5 2000: 0 2001: 0 2002: 1 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 0 2007: 0 2008: 0 2009: 0 2010: 0 2011: 0 2012: 0 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 0 2017: 0 2018: 1 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 0 18951905191519251935194519551965197519851995200520152025
Months each year with a Palmer index of −3 or lower, 1895 to 2025. Twelve means the whole year.
  1. The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.

NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.

Earthquakes

6 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 5.8 in 2011.

0

Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973

13

Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973

6

Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900

1

Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900

Largest within 50 miles

August 23, 2011

Magnitude 5.8

11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia; 46.3 miles away, 3.7 miles deep.

Most recent, magnitude 3 or more

January 17, 2016

Magnitude 3.0

3 km NE of Ranson, West Virginia; 44.7 miles away.

Earthquakes of magnitude 3 or more within 50 miles, by year 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 0 1977: 0 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 2 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 1 1985: 0 1986: 0 1987: 0 1988: 0 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 0 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 0 1999: 0 2000: 0 2001: 1 2002: 0 2003: 1 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 0 2007: 0 2008: 0 2009: 0 2010: 0 2011: 5 5 2012: 2 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 1 2017: 0 2018: 0 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 0 19731978198319881993199820032008201320182023
Per year, 1973 to 2025.

Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles

Earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
Aug 25, 20114.543.24.28 km SW of Mineral, Virginia
Aug 23, 20114.245.40.011 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia
Aug 23, 20115.846.33.711 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia
Dec 9, 20034.549.46.25 km ENE of Columbia, Virginia
Aug 17, 19844.239.05.35 km WNW of Palmyra, Virginia
Apr 9, 19184.6Inside—6 km NE of Luray, Virginia
  1. Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
  2. Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).

USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Severe weather and other events

929 events in the National Weather Service record, 917 of them since 1996.

22

Hail reports, 1 inch or larger

1

Hail, 2 inches or larger

150

Damaging gusts, 58 mph+

305

Winter weather events since 1996

39

Heat events since 1996

106

Cold events since 1996

Largest hail

June 3, 2009

2.75 inches

Strongest measured or estimated gust

June 4, 2008

90 mph

More event types since 1996

Other Storm Events types since 1996
Lightning200May 26, 2001
Dense fog and smoke12400May 17, 2021

Costliest events since 1996

  1. Sep 18, 2003Flash Flood$2.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    By 9 pm on September 18, a rain band associated with Isabel had set up over the Shenandoah Valley and showers were training southward into the Blue Ridge Mountains on the east side of Augusta County. The rain gauge located at Upper Sherando had recorded over 6 inches of rain and more was to come. County officials quickly began evacuations of homes downstream. In all 350 people in the South River area would be evacuated and 21 of those ended up being by boat. Water flowed down the Black Creek at 60 mph washing out the bridge and several hundred feet of asphalt along Route 608. Four spillways to dams flooded causing damage but none of them failed. There was $125,000 damage to the…

  2. Sep 18, 2003Flood, Page$2.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    By 9 pm on September 18, a rain band associated with Isabel had set up over the Shenandoah Valley and showers were training southward into the Blue Ridge Mountains on the east side of Augusta County. The rain gauge located at Upper Sherando had recorded over 6 inches of rain and more was to come. County officials quickly began evacuations of homes downstream. In all 350 people in the South River area would be evacuated and 21 of those ended up being by boat. Water flowed down the Black Creek at 60 mph washing out the bridge and several hundred feet of asphalt along Route 608. Four spillways to dams flooded causing damage but none of them failed. There was $125,000 damage to the…

  3. Sep 6, 1996Flood, Page$2.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    The rapid runoff produced by the heavy rains from Fran caused substantial, damaging, and in some cases record river flooding across much of the northern Virginia watershed from late on the 6th until early on the 10th. Flash flooding on the 6th rapidly became river flooding late on the 6th along the headwaters of the Potomac, Shenandoah, and Rappahannock River basins, and continued throughout the basins over the weekend and into early the following week. Crests at gaging points in these basins were similar to those in January 1996 across the Lower Main Stem of the Potomac. Levels were 1 to 5 feet higher across the Upper Main Stem Potomac and Rappahannock Rivers. The Shenandoah…

  4. Jan 19, 1996Flood, Page$1.5 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    ***River Flooding***High dewpoint temperatures melted most of the snow on the ground within 12 hours. The snow pack had a liquid equivalent between 2 to 3 inches. Snowmelt, combined with 1 to 3 inches of rain (some locations received nearly 5 inches), caused the worst regional flooding in over 10 years. River flooding began during the flood/flash flood event along the headwaters of all basins and continued downstream through the 22nd. Crests ranged from 3 to 21 feet above flood stage.High water caused millions of dollars in damage, closed roads, destroyed homes and businesses, and forced the evacuation of several towns. Four people were rescued by the National Park Service and…

  5. Jun 22, 2026Thunderstorm Wind$1.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    A severe thunderstorm on the afternoon of Monday, June 22nd|produced a downburst of damaging wind that created a path of|damage nearly seven miles long through central Page County|Virginia, about 2 miles south of Luray.||Along that path that passed through the towns of Leaksville and|Stony Man, there were many trees snapped and uprooted. In addition, |outbuilding, shed, siding and shingle damage was evident.||Peak winds of 85 mph were estimated around Mill Creek Rd, Rodeo|Drive, and Mt. Zion Road between E Branch Rd and Redman Store Rd|where there was substantial structural damage. A home roof was|partially lifted on Rodeo Dr. There was also roof damage to two|homes on Mt. Zion…

  6. Jan 19, 1996Flash Flood$700,000
  7. Mar 20, 2024Wildfire, Page$559,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Several fires were sparked by very strong westerly winds in excess of 50 mph and extremely low relative humidity values on the afternoon of March 20th. There were two large fires that straddled the Shenandoah/Page county line in the George Washington National Forest. The first of which was called the Waterfall Mountain/Shenandoah Forest/211 West Fire, which burned 6,399 acres between Shenandoah and Page counties. The other fire was named the Edith Gap/Serenity Ridge Fire, which burned 832 acres. These were both combined to be a part of a greater complex of fires, named the North Zone Complex. In addition to these fires, there was another fire that was managed by another federal…

  8. Sep 18, 2003High Wind, Page$500,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    By 9 pm on September 18, a rain band associated with Isabel had set up over the Shenandoah Valley and showers were training southward into the Blue Ridge Mountains on the east side of Augusta County. The rain gauge located at Upper Sherando had recorded over 6 inches of rain and more was to come. County officials quickly began evacuations of homes downstream. In all 350 people in the South River area would be evacuated and 21 of those ended up being by boat. Water flowed down the Black Creek at 60 mph washing out the bridge and several hundred feet of asphalt along Route 608. Four spillways to dams flooded causing damage but none of them failed. There was $125,000 damage to the…

  9. Sep 6, 1996Flash Flood$500,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    *** Narrative for flash flooding from "Fran" follows the Loudoun Co entry, start time 1100EST ***

  10. Jul 21, 2026Tornado$500,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A tornado briefly touched down as a supercell thunderstorm crossed the Thorton Gap entrance to Shenandoah National Park near the intersection of Skyline Drive and US-211 Lee Highway. Numerous trees and large branches were snapped in a convergent manner from near the top of the ridgeline to a couple miles on the lee side of|the ridge. Several metal signs were blown over at the Thorton Gap entrance. The tornado dissipated in the woods prior to reaching Sperryville. KLWX radar indicated rotation co-located with a tornadic debris signature as the storm crossed this location.

  1. Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.

Weather records

From Dale Enterprise, 25.7 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1893.

All-time high
105°F3 times, most recently Jul 6, 1999
All-time low
−25°FJan 14, 1912
Warmest night
76°F2 times, most recently Jul 29, 1941
Coldest day
0°FFeb 10, 1899
Wettest day
5.95 inSep 7, 1996
Snowiest day
24.0 inMar 6, 1962
Hottest year
1921mean 57.0°F
Coldest year
1996mean 50.8°F
Wettest year
199660.72 in
Driest year
193017.33 in
Snowiest season
72.5 in1917-18
Average monthly high and low temperature and precipitation, last 30 years, Dale Enterprise 32°F 42° 22° 2.6 Jan 46° 24° 2.3 Feb 55° 30° 2.6 Mar 66° 39° 3.1 Apr 73° 49° 4.2 May 82° 58° 4.3 Jun 86° 62° 4.1 Jul 84° 60° 4.0 Aug 78° 54° 3.9 Sep 67° 42° 2.4 Oct 56° 32° 2.6 Nov 46° 26° 2.8 Dec Precipitation, inches
Average daily high and low by month, and average monthly precipitation, over the last 30 years.
Nights at or below freezing per year 1976: 124 1977: 112 1978: 128 1979: 113 1980: 116 1981: 122 1982: 115 1983: 84 1984: 96 1985: 98 1986: 110 1987: 123 1988: 121 1989: 119 1990: 91 1991: 96 1992: 96 1993: 110 1994: 123 1995: 136 1996: 128 1997: 136 1998: 115 1999: 122 2000: 133 2001: 137 2002: 129 2003: 122 2004: 111 2005: 125 2006: 120 2007: 119 2008: 118 2009: 119 2010: 138 2011: 126 2012: 114 2013: 133 2014: 140 140 2015: 108 2016: 123 2017: 106 2018: 125 2019: 121 2020: 97 2021: 119 2022: 139 2023: 118 2024: 99 2025: 118 19761986199620062016
Nights at or below freezing each complete year, last 50 years. Thirty-year average: 121.9.
Snowfall by winter 1976: 12.5 in 1977: 36.0 in 1978: 24.5 in 1979: 35.5 in 1980: 4.5 in 1981: 33.6 in 1983: 14.8 in 1984: 6.5 in 1985: 17.7 in 1986: 37.3 in 1987: 12.6 in 1988: 11.4 in 1989: 39.6 in 1990: 18.0 in 1991: 3.4 in 1992: 44.0 in 1993: 41.1 in 1994: 13.2 in 1995: 55.9 in 55.9 1996: 23.3 in 1997: 26.1 in 1998: 25.9 in 1999: 12.6 in 2000: 10.1 in 2001: 10.6 in 2002: 39.8 in 2003: 31.2 in 2004: 14.1 in 2005: 16.1 in 2006: 16.3 in 2007: 11.6 in 2008: 12.2 in 2009: 48.3 in 2010: 13.2 in 2011: 7.5 in 2012: 25.4 in 2013: 46.9 in 2014: 31.2 in 2015: 33.2 in 2016: 3.4 in 2017: 14.8 in 2018: 16.4 in 2019: 3.4 in 2020: 18.9 in 2021: 19.2 in 2022: 1.5 in 2023: 5.4 in 2024: 14.6 in 2025: 10.8 in 19761987199720072017
Total snowfall each winter (July to June), last 50 winters.

Median first snow

December 5

Earliest: October 10, 1979

Median last snow

March 15

Latest: April 30, 1925

0 of 119 winters had no measurable snow.

Station Dale Enterprise (USC00442208), 1,358 ft elevation, 25.7 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1893 to October 19, 2026; 98.0% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.

NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.

Federal disaster declarations

24 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 23, 2026.

Federal disaster declarations
Jan 23, 2026Winter StormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3631-VA
Apr 4, 2025Severe StormSevere Winter Storms and FloodingMajor disasterDR-4863-VA
Apr 2, 2020BiologicalCovid-19 PandemicMajor disasterDR-4512-VA
Mar 13, 2020BiologicalCovid-19EmergencyEM-3448-VA
Sep 11, 2018HurricaneHurricane FlorenceEmergencyEM-3403-VA
Mar 7, 2016SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disasterDR-4262-VA
Oct 29, 2012HurricaneHurricane SandyEmergencyEM-3359-VA
Jul 27, 2012Severe StormSevere Storms and Straight-Line WindsMajor disasterDR-4072-VA
Apr 27, 2010SnowstormSevere Winter Storms and SnowstormsMajor disasterDR-1905-VA
Feb 16, 2010SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disasterDR-1874-VA
Sep 12, 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergencyEM-3240-VA
Sep 18, 2003HurricaneHurricane IsabelMajor disasterDR-1491-VA
Feb 28, 2002FireVa - Fultz Run Fire - 02-28-2002Fire managementFM-2397-VA
Feb 28, 2000Severe StormSevere Winter StormsMajor disasterDR-1318-VA
Sep 6, 1996HurricaneHurricane Fran and Associated Severe Storm CondMajor disasterDR-1135-VA
Jan 27, 1996FloodFlooding, High Winds, and Wind Driven RainMajor disasterDR-1098-VA
Jan 13, 1996SnowstormBlizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disasterDR-1086-VA
Mar 25, 1993SnowstormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3112-VA
May 19, 1992FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-944-VA
Nov 9, 1985FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-755-VA
Jul 23, 1977DroughtDroughtEmergencyEM-3046-VA
Oct 15, 1976DroughtDroughtEmergencyEM-3018-VA
Oct 10, 1972FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-359-VA
Jun 23, 1972FloodTropical Storm AgnesMajor disasterDR-339-VA

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.

How this compares

Where Page County stands among 133 counties in Virginia and 3,143 in the United States.

Ranks
Tornadoes since 1950475 / 1332,697 / 3,143
Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger0——
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi1184 / 133738 / 3,143
Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi176 / 133579 / 3,143
Wildfire acres since 198425,4491 / 133603 / 3,143
Flood insurance claims18841 / 133958 / 3,143
Flood insurance paid$3.6 million40 / 133884 / 3,143
Disaster declarations2419 / 133900 / 3,143
Flood events since 19968648 / 133770 / 3,143
Hail and wind events since 199624139 / 1331,620 / 3,143
Winter storm events since 19963053 / 133169 / 3,143
Reported damage since 1996$13.2 million50 / 1331,776 / 3,143
River crests at major flood stage440 / 133981 / 3,143
High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years0.0——
Months in severe drought since 189576122 / 1332,933 / 3,143
Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years11.923 / 1332,174 / 3,143
Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900616 / 133589 / 3,143
Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 19730——

Neighbouring counties

Neighbouring counties
Greene County510028
Madison County9104,04419
Rappahannock County4128569
Rockingham County101024,886282
Shenandoah County5103,497205
Warren County4121,814370

Sources and vintage

Every number on this page comes from these public records.

  • Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
  • Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
  • Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
  • Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
  • Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
  • Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00442208.
  • River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
  • Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.

Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.