Nicholas County
Population 7,949 (2025) 195 sq mi
Property owners in Nicholas County have filed 48 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 57th most of 120 counties in Kentucky.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 19502
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger3
At a glance
The record for Nicholas County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi
3
6th of 120 in Kentucky
None at hurricane strength since 1851
DetailsTornadoes since 1950
2
109th of 120 in Kentucky
Fewer than the typical Kentucky county, which has had 10
DetailsStrongest tornado
F2
June 15, 1964, 49.3 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
TS
Tropical storm (unnamed), 1888, 7.6 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 38 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
June 15, 1964
F2, 49.3 mile path
10 yards wide.
Most recent
Wednesday, March 12, 1986
F1, 0.1 mile path
40 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Mar 12, 1986 | F1 | 0.1 | 3 | 0 |
| Jun 15, 1964 | F2 | 49.3 | 1 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Nicholas County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
3 passed within 50 miles since 1851; none at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
August 21, 1888
Unnamed storm, Tropical storm
7.6 miles at closest approach, winds near 52 mph.
Most recent
October 5, 1995
Opal, Tropical storm
15.6 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 54 days
Heavy smoke on 12 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
14.6 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
9 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 35 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
48 federal flood insurance claims since 1979, with $1.9 million paid.
Most claims in one year
1979: 6 claims
$21,000 paid.
2nd most
2010: 6 claims
$40,000 paid.
3rd most
2021: 6 claims
$1.3 million paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 40311 | 45 | $1.7 million |
Flood events since 1996
- Flood40
- Flash Flood26
- Heavy Rain2
2 deaths recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
March 3, 1997
Licking River at Blue Licks Spring, 47.60 ft
22.60 feet above the 25.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
March 3, 1997
Licking River at Blue Licks Spring, 47.60 ft
Major flooding.
River gauges
| Licking River at Blue Licks Spring | 25.0 | 47.60 ft | 3 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 119 of 1,581 months since 1895 (8%); the longest spell lasted 15 months.
119
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
49
Months in extreme drought
8%
Share of all months, severe or worse
Lowest reading
January 1931
−7.33, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
15 months
May 1987 to July 1988.
Latest month
September 2026
−0.69, incipient dry spell
Last severe month: September 2007.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes and landslides
3 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 5.0 in 1980.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
11
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
3
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
1
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
July 27, 1980
2 km SW of Sharpsburg, Kentucky; 1.5 miles away, 6.2 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
December 28, 2025
Magnitude 3.1
11 km ENE of Lancaster, Kentucky; 44.6 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Sep 6, 1988 | 4.4 | 11.5 |
| Sep 6, 1988 | 4.6 | 8.5 |
| Jul 27, 1980 | 5.0 | 1.5 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
8
Landslides mapped, probable or better
7
With a recorded date
1
Source inventory
Mapped by KY GS (8).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
186 events in the National Weather Service record, 171 of them since 1996.
4
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
1
Hail, 2 inches or larger
61
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
29
Winter weather events since 1996
0
Heat events since 1996
6
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
May 10, 2011
2.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
February 6, 2008
100 mph
Costliest events since 1996
- Jul 29, 2021Flash Flood$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Several streets in Carlisle experienced flash flooding. Cost of damage is unknown.
- Jul 30, 2021Flash Flood$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy rain caused flash flooding in Carlisle as Brushy Fork Creek quickly left it's banks. Several streets including Main Street were under several feet of water. Some reported over 4 feet of water in several homes. Homes were pushed off their foundations, and several cars floated downstream in the current. People had to be rescued through broken windows by emergency responders on watercraft. Some people lost most of their possessions, but one woman who lived in a mobile home on Moorefield Road lost her life after emergency responders couldn't respond in time to her call for help. She was found in the water 600 feet downstream.
- Mar 1, 1997Flood, Nicholas$450,000
National Weather Service narrative
Record flooding occurred all along the Licking River basin as 24 hour rainfall amounts beginning early March 1 totaled from 6 to 10 inches. Stoner Creek at Paris crested at a record 30.0 feet (flood stage is 18 feet) at 5 am est on March 2. The Licking River at Cynthiana crested at a record 28.0 feet (flood stage is 20 feet) at 530 pm est on March 2. The Licking River at Blue Licks Spring crested at a record 47.6 feet (flood stage is 25 feet) at 7 pm est on March 2. The towns of Blue Licks Spring, Cynthiana and Paris all received major flooding with many homes and businesses under water. All of these counties were declared federal disaster areas and received federal aid. A 66 year…
- Feb 6, 2008Thunderstorm Wind$300,000
National Weather Service narrative
The first damage occurred two miles west of Carlisle where straight line winds blew the roofs off a barn and a trailer, and a manufacturing company suffered significant roof damage. Tree and barn damage occurred on KY 32 and KY 1455 north of Carlisle. The most significant damage happened three miles northeast of Carlisle near the intersection of KY 32 and Stoney Creek Road. A small barn was completely destroyed and blown into the highway. Several other barns had their roofs removed. A car was blow 15 feet into a telephone pole by the winds.
- Jan 29, 2008Thunderstorm Wind$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorm winds damaged about twelve homes along U.S. Highway 68. A barn was heavily damaged, and several outbuildings were destroyed. Numerous trees were downed.
- Jul 4, 2001Flash Flood$75,000
National Weather Service narrative
Parts of US 68 were washed out. Several houses and mobile homes were inundated by water.
- May 5, 1996Thunderstorm Wind$30,000
National Weather Service narrative
Trailers rolled over and barn flattened along Hwy. 32 near Carlisle. Trees down across the county.
- May 10, 2011Hail$20,000
National Weather Service narrative
Three separate reports of 2.75 inch hail. This hail dented many vehicles and broke several windows.
- Nov 10, 2002Thunderstorm Wind$20,000
National Weather Service narrative
A mobile home was blown off its foundation.
- Jul 5, 2018Thunderstorm Wind$15,000
National Weather Service narrative
Power lines and trees came down at Carpenter Pike and US 68. Trees also came down along county roads in the western half of the county.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Lexington Bluegrass Airport, 37.7 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1872.
- All-time high
- 108°F2 times, most recently Jul 15, 1936
- All-time low
- −21°FJan 24, 1963
- Warmest night
- 83°FJul 8, 1874
- Coldest day
- −3°F2 times, most recently Jan 12, 1918
- Wettest day
- 8.04 inAug 2, 1932
- Snowiest day
- 13.4 inJan 26, 1943
- Hottest year
- 2024mean 59.8°F
- Coldest year
- 1917mean 52.3°F
- Wettest year
- 201871.98 in
- Driest year
- 193024.89 in
- Snowiest season
- 55.4 in1916-17
Median first snow
November 27
Earliest: October 19, 1972
Median last snow
March 22
Latest: May 20, 1894
0 of 137 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Lexington Bluegrass Airport (USW00093820), 962 ft elevation, 37.7 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1872 to October 26, 2026; 100.0% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
32 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 24, 2026.
| Jan 24, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3633-KY |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Severe Storm | DR-4864-KY |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Severe Storm | EM-3626-KY |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Severe Storm | DR-4860-KY |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Severe Storm | EM-3624-KY |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Tropical Storm | DR-4848-KY |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Severe Storm | DR-4702-KY |
| Mar 31, 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-4592-KY |
| Mar 28, 2020 | Biological | DR-4497-KY |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3469-KY |
| Apr 17, 2019 | Severe Storm | DR-4428-KY |
| Aug 12, 2015 | Severe Storm | DR-4239-KY |
| May 12, 2015 | Flood | DR-4218-KY |
| May 1, 2015 | Flood | DR-4217-KY |
| May 4, 2011 | Severe Storm | DR-1976-KY |
| May 11, 2010 | Severe Storm | DR-1912-KY |
| Feb 5, 2009 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-1818-KY |
| Jan 28, 2009 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3302-KY |
| May 19, 2008 | Severe Storm | DR-1757-KY |
| Feb 21, 2008 | Severe Storm | DR-1746-KY |
| Sep 10, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3231-KY |
| Jun 10, 2004 | Severe Storm | DR-1523-KY |
| Jun 3, 2003 | Severe Storm | DR-1471-KY |
| Mar 14, 2003 | Severe Storm | DR-1454-KY |
| Apr 4, 2002 | Severe Storm | DR-1407-KY |
| Feb 28, 2000 | Severe Storm | DR-1320-KY |
| Mar 3, 1998 | Severe Storm | DR-1207-KY |
| Mar 4, 1997 | Severe Storm | DR-1163-KY |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1089-KY |
| Mar 16, 1994 | Snowstorm | DR-1018-KY |
| Mar 16, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3104-KY |
| Feb 24, 1989 | Flood | DR-821-KY |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Nicholas County stands among 120 counties in Kentucky and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 2 | 109 / 120 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 3 | 6 / 120 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 48 | 57 / 120 |
| Flood insurance paid | $1.9 million | 43 / 120 |
| Disaster declarations | 32 | 30 / 120 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 68 | 60 / 120 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 68 | 119 / 120 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 29 | 96 / 120 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $3.2 million | 91 / 120 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 3 | 34 / 120 |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 119 | 77 / 120 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 14.6 | 60 / 120 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 3 | 50 / 120 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Bath County | 10 | 3 |
| Bourbon County | 5 | 3 |
| Fleming County | 10 | 3 |
| Harrison County | 9 | 2 |
| Montgomery County | 3 | 3 |
| Robertson County | 2 | 2 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00093820.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.