Vance County
Population 42,638 (2025) 252 sq mi
26 tropical storms and hurricanes have passed within 50 miles of Vance County since 1851, 3 of them at hurricane strength; the strongest was an unnamed storm in 1893 (Category 1).
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 19509
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger55
At a glance
The record for Vance County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi
26
54th of 100 in North Carolina
3 at hurricane strength since 1851
DetailsTornadoes since 1950
9
72nd of 100 in North Carolina
Fewer than the typical North Carolina county, which has had 14
DetailsStrongest tornado
EF2
February 24, 2016, 5.1 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
Cat. 1
Hurricane (unnamed), 1893, 0.0 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 8.4 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
February 24, 2016
EF2, 5.1 mile path
125 yards wide.
Most recent
Friday, September 27, 2024
EF1, 0.5 mile path
2 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Sep 27, 2024 | EF1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 8, 2024 | EF1 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 24, 2016 | EF2 | 5.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 27, 2010 | EF0 | 2.9 | 0 | 0 |
| May 9, 2003 | F0 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 19, 2001 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 27, 1995 | F2 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 1993 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 16, 1993 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Vance County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
26 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 3 at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
October 13, 1893
Unnamed storm, Category 1
0.0 miles at closest approach, winds near 86 mph.
Most recent
July 8, 2021
Elsa, Tropical storm
9.7 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
| Elsa | 2021 | 9.7 | Tropical storm |
| Claudette | 2021 | 57.6 | Tropical storm |
| Zeta | 2020 | 68.1 | Tropical storm |
| Isaias | 2020 | 44.0 | Tropical storm |
| Nestor | 2019 | 27.5 | Post-tropical |
| Michael | 2018 | 0.0 | Tropical storm |
| Andrea | 2013 | 36.5 | Post-tropical |
| Hanna | 2008 | 28.9 | Tropical storm |
| Alberto | 2006 | 63.6 | Post-tropical |
| Charley | 2004 | 82.8 | Tropical storm |
| Isabel | 2003 | 36.2 | Category 1 |
| Helene | 2000 | 57.9 | Tropical storm |
| Floyd | 1999 | 92.6 | Category 1 |
| Earl | 1998 | 61.1 | Post-tropical |
| Danny | 1997 | 36.5 | Tropical storm |
| Josephine | 1996 | 95.7 | Post-tropical |
| Fran | 1996 | 21.9 | Tropical storm |
| Bertha | 1996 | 61.2 | Tropical storm |
| Diana | 1984 | 83.4 | Tropical storm |
| David | 1979 | 76.9 | Tropical storm |
| Agnes | 1972 | 84.3 | Tropical storm |
| Doria | 1971 | 95.9 | Tropical storm |
| Alma | 1970 | 21.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1965 | 59.7 | Post-tropical |
| Isbell | 1964 | 61.2 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1961 | 93.2 | Tropical storm |
| Brenda | 1960 | 69.6 | Tropical storm |
| Cindy | 1959 | 32.3 | Tropical storm |
| Flossy | 1956 | 90.4 | Post-tropical |
| Diane | 1955 | 9.8 | Tropical storm |
| Hazel | 1954 | 13.2 | Post-tropical |
| Able | 1952 | 67.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1949 | 83.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1947 | 79.6 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1945 | 9.6 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1944 | 15.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1944 | 9.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1935 | 21.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1929 | 0.0 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 48.5 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1924 | 65.5 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1916 | 52.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1915 | 64.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1913 | 66.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1912 | 77.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1904 | 21.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 50.0 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 0.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1899 | 3.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1896 | 32.9 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1894 | 80.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 0.0 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 77.3 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 61.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 85.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1889 | 0.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1888 | 0.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1886 | 21.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1885 | 17.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1883 | 13.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1882 | 95.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1882 | 10.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1881 | 72.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 69.4 | Category 2 |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 71.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1877 | 13.9 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1876 | 54.5 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1874 | 48.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1872 | 69.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1867 | 49.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1861 | 90.5 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1859 | 0.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1854 | 49.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1851 | 69.2 | Tropical storm |
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 43 days
Heavy smoke on 7 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
9.8 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
8 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 29 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
12 federal flood insurance claims since 1983, with $174,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 27536 | 6 | $37,000 |
| 27537 | 5 | $134,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood16
- Heavy Rain5
- Flood2
1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 83 of 1,581 months since 1895 (5%); the longest spell lasted 10 months.
83
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
10
Months in extreme drought
5%
Share of all months, severe or worse
Lowest reading
January 1934
−4.54, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
10 months
November 2010 to August 2011.
Latest month
September 2026
−4.39, extreme drought
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
1 earthquake of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 1989; none reached magnitude 4.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
0
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
0
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
June 4, 1989
Magnitude 2.8
9 km WNW of Burkeville, Virginia; 47.0 miles away, 5.5 miles deep.
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
311 events in the National Weather Service record, 272 of them since 1996.
30
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
1
Hail, 2 inches or larger
99
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
69
Winter weather events since 1996
5
Heat events since 1996
2
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
February 24, 2016
3.00 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
August 20, 1997
69 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 3 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Oct 29, 2020Strong Wind, Vance$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Frequent wind gusts of 40 to 55 mph resulted in scattered to numerous trees and power lines down across Vance County, including some on homes. Numerous customers lost power in Vance County as a result of the strong winds.
- Oct 11, 2018Tropical Storm, Vance$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
Tropical storm wind gusts downed numerous trees, caused widespread power outages and produced a variety of damage to homes throughout the county. An apartment complex in Henderson was evacuated when a gas line was damaged from a downed tree.
- Feb 25, 2015Winter Storm, Vance$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
Snowfall/sleet amounts of 7 to 9 inches fell across the county. The heavy wet snow caused extensive power outages from falling trees and power lines.
- Sep 27, 2024Tornado$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
A tornado touched down over a large private building near Technology Ln and Poplar Creek Rd east of Oxford. The tornado ripped off the roof of the building and moved two HVAC units. The tornado crossed over Interstate 85 and into the Vance and Granville community college campus, breaking and snapping some soft and hardwood trees. The tornado then lifted just north of the community college, however roof debris from the private building was found lofted into a residential tree north of US Highway 158.
- Aug 15, 2002Lightning$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
A lightning strike resulted in a fire in a manufacturing plant.
- May 9, 2003Tornado$400,000
National Weather Service narrative
Trees were downed and a marina was damaged between Townsville and the Nutbush recreational area at Kerr Lake. Golfball sized hail was also reported.
- Sep 18, 2003Hurricane (Typhoon), Vance$369,000
National Weather Service narrative
Hurricane Isabel made landfall along the Outer Banks just north of Cape Lookout around 1 pm on September 18, 2003. The eye of the storm tracked northeast passing over eastern Halifax County. Winds gusts to near Hurricane force were recorded over Halifax county. Many locations across the Coastal Plain and even back into the Triangle received wind gusts between 50 to 70 mph late in the afternoon until early evening. Many trees were uprooted falling on vehicles and homes all across the area. One person was killed in Franklin county when their vehicle struck a downed tree. Up to 6 inches of rain fell across Edgecombe, Halifax and Wilson counties resulting in flooding of several roads.
- Mar 6, 2014Ice Storm, Vance$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
One quarter of an inch of ice from freezing rain resulted in widespread downed trees and power-lines. Additionally, snowfall of 1 to 2 inches fell across the county.
- Oct 8, 2016Strong Wind, Vance$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Frequent wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph resulted in numerous trees down across Vance County, including on homes, cars, and power lines. Numerous customers lost power in Vance County as a result of the strong winds.
- Feb 12, 2021Winter Storm, Vance$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
One-quarter to one-half of an inch of ice from freezing rain downed numerous trees across the county, causing numerous power outages.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Henderson 2 Nnw, 1.2 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1893.
- All-time high
- 106°FJul 21, 1926
- All-time low
- −8°FJan 28, 1940
- Warmest night
- 86°FJul 9, 1930
- Coldest day
- 10°F2 times, most recently Feb 13, 1899
- Wettest day
- 7.50 inNov 29, 1934
- Snowiest day
- 22.5 inJan 28, 1922
- Hottest year
- 1921mean 62.9°F
- Coldest year
- 1988mean 55.4°F
- Wettest year
- 202069.28 in
- Driest year
- 196826.86 in
- Snowiest season
- 32.0 in1935-36
Median first snow
January 19
Earliest: November 6, 1953
Median last snow
February 14
Latest: April 11, 1918
19 of 76 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Henderson 2 Nnw (USC00313969), 480 ft elevation, 1.2 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1893 to October 27, 2026; 91.9% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
23 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 24, 2026.
| Jan 24, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3637-NC |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Tropical Storm | EM-3617-NC |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Tropical Storm | EM-3608-NC |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Hurricane | EM-3586-NC |
| Aug 2, 2020 | Hurricane | EM-3534-NC |
| Mar 25, 2020 | Biological | DR-4487-NC |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3471-NC |
| Sep 3, 2019 | Hurricane | EM-3423-NC |
| Jan 31, 2019 | Hurricane | DR-4412-NC |
| Sep 10, 2018 | Hurricane | EM-3401-NC |
| Oct 7, 2016 | Hurricane | EM-3380-NC |
| Aug 31, 2011 | Hurricane | DR-4019-NC |
| Sep 5, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3222-NC |
| Sep 18, 2003 | Hurricane | DR-1490-NC |
| Dec 12, 2002 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-1448-NC |
| Jan 31, 2000 | Severe Storm | DR-1312-NC |
| Sep 16, 1999 | Hurricane | DR-1292-NC |
| Sep 15, 1999 | Hurricane | EM-3146-NC |
| Sep 6, 1996 | Hurricane | DR-1134-NC |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1087-NC |
| Mar 17, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3110-NC |
| Aug 11, 1977 | Drought | EM-3049-NC |
| Mar 2, 1977 | Snowstorm | EM-3033-NC |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Vance County stands among 100 counties in North Carolina and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 9 | 72 / 100 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 26 | 54 / 100 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 3 | 47 / 100 |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 12 | 91 / 100 |
| Flood insurance paid | $174,000 | 91 / 100 |
| Disaster declarations | 23 | 52 / 100 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 23 | 91 / 100 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 161 | 77 / 100 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 69 | 38 / 100 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $5.0 million | 93 / 100 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 83 | 79 / 100 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 9.8 | 21 / 100 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 0 | — |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Franklin County | 13 | 34 |
| Granville County | 9 | 26 |
| Mecklenburg County VA | 11 | 28 |
| Warren County | 6 | 33 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00313969.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.