Caroline County

Population 34,413 (2025) 527 sq mi

24 tropical storms and hurricanes have passed within 50 miles of Caroline County since 1851, 2 of them at hurricane strength; the strongest was an unnamed storm in 1878 (Category 2).

Hazard fingerprint for Caroline County Tornado: 37th percentile. Tropical: 72th percentile. Wildfire: 0th percentile. Flood: 59th percentile. Hail & wind: 52th percentile. Heat: 33th percentile. Cold: 16th percentile. Winter: 72th percentile. TORTROPFIREFLOODSEVEREHEATCOLDWINTER

Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed

2026
  • Tornado damage paths since 195015
  • Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger44

At a glance

The record for Caroline County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.

Tropical cyclones within 50 mi

24

39th of 133 in Virginia

2 at hurricane strength since 1851

Details

Flood insurance claims

8

117th of 133 in Virginia

$42,000 paid since 1979

Details

Tornadoes since 1950

15

14th of 133 in Virginia

3.0 times the typical Virginia county

Details

Strongest tornado

F2

April 1, 1998, 4.0 mile path

Strongest tropical cyclone

Cat. 2

Hurricane (unnamed), 1878, 2.7 miles away

Largest earthquake within 50 mi

5.8magnitude

August 23, 2011, 16.7 miles away

Details

Federal disaster declarations

24

Most recent: Severe Winter Storm, 2026

Details

Record high

104°F

August 21, 1983

Details

Tornadoes

About one every 5.1 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.

Strongest

April 1, 1998

F2, 4.0 mile path

200 yards wide.

Most recent

Thursday, August 8, 2024

EF1, 1.7 mile path

2 years ago.

Tornadoes by decade Doppler radar era² 1950s: 0 1960s: 0 1970s: 3 3 1980s: 1 1 1990s: 1 1 2000s: 6 6 2010s: 2 2 2020s: 2 2 1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Recorded tornadoes per decade. The 2020s are incomplete.
Tornadoes by month J: 0 F: 0 M: 1 A: 3 M: 0 J: 2 J: 1 A: 2 S: 5 5 O: 0 N: 1 D: 0 JFMAMJJASOND
By month of occurrence, all years.

Every recorded tornado

Tornadoes in Caroline County since 1950
Aug 8, 2024EF11.770000
Nov 11, 2022EF02.915000
Jun 20, 2015EF01.35000
Apr 27, 2011EF10.210000
Apr 20, 2008EF00.55000
Sep 17, 2004F12.015000
Sep 17, 2004F11.56000
Sep 17, 2004F01.05000
Sep 17, 2004F11.520000
Sep 8, 2004F117.830000
Apr 1, 1998F24.020010
Jun 26, 1988F00.82000
Aug 12, 1977F10.12310
Jul 8, 1977F10.23010
Mar 24, 1975F10.520000
  1. Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Caroline County: 0.
  2. Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.

Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

24 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 2 at hurricane strength.

Strongest within 50 miles

October 23, 1878

Unnamed storm, Category 2

2.7 miles at closest approach, winds near 96 mph.

Most recent

July 9, 2021

Elsa, Tropical storm

42.4 miles at closest approach.

Tropical cyclones within 50 miles by decade 50s: 1 60s: 0 70s: 4 4 80s: 3 90s: 2 00s: 1 10s: 1 20s: 0 30s: 1 40s: 2 50s: 3 60s: 1 70s: 0 80s: 0 90s: 1 00s: 2 10s: 0 20s: 2 50s60s70s80s90s00s10s20s30s40s50s60s70s80s90s00s10s20s
Storms within 50 miles, by decade. Records before about 1900 miss storms that never reached land or ships.

Every storm within 100 miles

Tropical cyclones within 100 miles
Elsa202142.4Tropical storm55Category 1
Zeta20201.7Post-tropical52Category 3
Isaias202023.8Tropical storm69Category 1
Nestor201965.3Post-tropical46Tropical storm
Michael201876.7Post-tropical61Category 5
Andrea201361.8Post-tropical46Tropical storm
Hanna200823.3Tropical storm52Category 1
Ernesto200618.1Post-tropical46Category 1
Gaston200457.4Tropical storm40Category 1
Charley200495.2Post-tropical45Category 4
Isabel200342.5Tropical storm67Category 5
Floyd199986.2Tropical storm72Category 4
Bertha199639.1Tropical storm69Category 3
Danielle199282.6Tropical storm46Tropical storm
David197979.1Tropical storm46Category 5
Doria197174.5Tropical storm69Tropical storm
Alma197090.6Tropical storm40Category 1
Unnamed196349.3Tropical storm44Tropical storm
Unnamed196178.3Tropical storm54Tropical storm
Brenda196059.8Tropical storm58Tropical storm
Cindy195980.8Tropical storm46Category 1
Diane195549.0Tropical storm48Category 2
Connie195542.0Tropical storm66Category 4
Hazel195410.0Post-tropical86Category 4
Able195245.3Tropical storm54Category 2
Unnamed194951.1Tropical storm58Category 4
Unnamed19450.0Post-tropical41Category 4
Unnamed194452.4Post-tropical46Category 4
Unnamed19440.0Tropical storm40Category 1
Unnamed194337.0Tropical storm52Tropical storm
Unnamed193581.4Tropical storm67Category 5
Unnamed193459.4Post-tropical46Category 2
Unnamed19337.7Tropical storm69Category 4
Unnamed19290.0Post-tropical58Category 4
Unnamed19280.0Post-tropical58Category 5
Unnamed192815.6Post-tropical46Category 2
Unnamed192470.9Post-tropical74Category 1
Unnamed191666.1Post-tropical47Tropical storm
Unnamed191535.7Tropical storm46Category 1
Unnamed190443.6Tropical storm69Category 1
Unnamed19026.9Post-tropical40Category 2
Unnamed190238.0Post-tropical46Tropical storm
Unnamed18991.9Post-tropical58Category 2
Unnamed189661.7Tropical storm72Category 3
Unnamed189493.7Category 174Category 3
Unnamed189358.6Tropical storm44Tropical storm
Unnamed189330.2Category 178Category 3
Unnamed189340.1Tropical storm63Category 3
Unnamed188959.7Tropical storm46Category 2
Unnamed188823.9Tropical storm40Tropical storm
Unnamed188644.3Tropical storm40Category 2
Unnamed188533.8Post-tropical46Tropical storm
Unnamed188273.9Tropical storm46Tropical storm
Unnamed188237.1Tropical storm49Category 3
Unnamed188189.1Tropical storm58Category 2
Unnamed18782.7Category 296Category 2
Unnamed187733.2Post-tropical61Category 3
Unnamed18760.0Tropical storm71Category 3
Unnamed187445.0Tropical storm58Category 1
Unnamed187242.4Tropical storm46Category 1
Unnamed186367.2Tropical storm58Tropical storm
Unnamed186172.9Tropical storm69Category 1
Unnamed185941.9Tropical storm60Category 1
Unnamed185683.8Tropical storm58Tropical storm
  1. Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.

National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.

Wildfire and smoke

No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.

Smoke overhead

Smokiest year

2023: 49 days

Heavy smoke on 10 days in 2023, the most of any year.

Last 10 years

11.6 days a year

Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.

2025

12 days

Medium or heavy smoke. 32 so far in 2026.

Days with medium or heavy smoke overhead, by year 2011: 0 2012: 2 2013: 0 2014: 2 2015: 8 2016: 0 2017: 1 2018: 3 2019: 3 2020: 8 2021: 23 2022: 9 2023: 49 49 2024: 8 2025: 12 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Days each year on which a satellite-traced plume of medium or heavy smoke covered the county’s population centre, 2011 to 2025.
  1. A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.

NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Floods and flood insurance

8 federal flood insurance claims since 1979, with $42,000 paid.

Federal flood insurance claims by year
Claims per year since 1979. Years with fewer than five claims are not shown.

Flood events since 1996

  • Heavy Rain30
  • Flash Flood15
  • Flood9

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.

River crests

Most severe crest

June 23, 1972

Mattaponi River at Bowling Green, 18.95 ft

7.95 feet above the 11.0 ft flood stage; minor flooding by today’s categories.

Highest river crests above flood stage
Jun 23, 1972Mattaponi River at Bowling Green18.95+7.95Minor
Oct 17, 1942Mattaponi River at Bowling Green17.45+6.45Minor
Aug 21, 1969Mattaponi River at Bowling Green16.70+5.70Minor
Dec 5, 1948Mattaponi River at Bowling Green16.21+5.21Minor
Feb 27, 1979Mattaponi River at Bowling Green16.01+5.01Minor
Mar 29, 1994Mattaponi River at Bowling Green15.63+4.63Minor
Aug 20, 1955Mattaponi River at Bowling Green15.60+4.60Minor
Sep 27, 1975Mattaponi River at Bowling Green15.58+4.58Minor
Aug 5, 1948Mattaponi River at Bowling Green15.34+4.34Minor
Nov 13, 2020Mattaponi River at Bowling Green15.26+4.26Minor
Mar 30, 1984Mattaponi River at Bowling Green15.16+4.16Minor
Jan 27, 1978Mattaponi River at Bowling Green15.05+4.05Minor
May 2, 2014Mattaponi River at Bowling Green14.77+3.77Minor
Feb 6, 1998Mattaponi River at Bowling Green14.45+3.45Minor
Jul 18, 1945Mattaponi River at Bowling Green14.23+3.23Minor
Nov 23, 1952Mattaponi River at Bowling Green14.22+3.22Minor
Dec 9, 2011Mattaponi River at Bowling Green14.10+3.10Minor
Feb 20, 1961Mattaponi River at Bowling Green14.03+3.03Minor
Mar 6, 1993Mattaponi River at Bowling Green13.93+2.93Minor
Sep 11, 1950Mattaponi River at Bowling Green13.78+2.78Minor
Feb 24, 2003Mattaponi River at Bowling Green13.60+2.60Minor
Mar 14, 1962Mattaponi River at Bowling Green13.58+2.58Minor
Jun 5, 2009Mattaponi River at Bowling Green13.41+2.41Minor
May 13, 2008Mattaponi River at Bowling Green13.40+2.40Minor
Jan 11, 2024Mattaponi River at Bowling Green13.38+2.38Minor

River gauges

River gauges and their highest listed crests
Mattaponi River at Bowling Green11.018.95 ftJun 23, 19720
  1. Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.

NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Drought

In severe drought or worse for 130 of 1,581 months since 1895 (8%); the longest spell lasted 13 months.

130

Months in severe drought or worse since 1895

32

Months in extreme drought

8%

Share of all months, severe or worse

2

Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996

Lowest reading

February 1931

−6.53, extreme drought

Longest severe spell

13 months

July 1930 to July 1931.

Latest month

September 2026

−3.24, severe drought

Months in severe drought or worse, by year 1895: 1 1896: 3 1897: 1 1898: 0 1899: 0 1900: 0 1901: 1 1902: 0 1903: 0 1904: 0 1905: 0 1906: 0 1907: 0 1908: 0 1909: 0 1910: 0 1911: 0 1912: 0 1913: 0 1914: 5 1915: 0 1916: 0 1917: 0 1918: 0 1919: 0 1920: 0 1921: 3 1922: 0 1923: 0 1924: 0 1925: 0 1926: 0 1927: 0 1928: 0 1929: 0 1930: 6 1931: 9 1932: 3 1933: 0 1934: 0 1935: 0 1936: 1 1937: 0 1938: 0 1939: 0 1940: 0 1941: 3 1942: 4 1943: 0 1944: 0 1945: 0 1946: 0 1947: 0 1948: 0 1949: 0 1950: 0 1951: 0 1952: 0 1953: 2 1954: 11 11 1955: 1 1956: 0 1957: 0 1958: 0 1959: 0 1960: 0 1961: 0 1962: 0 1963: 1 1964: 0 1965: 1 1966: 5 1967: 0 1968: 0 1969: 0 1970: 0 1971: 0 1972: 0 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 0 1977: 3 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 2 1981: 8 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 0 1987: 0 1988: 0 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 6 1992: 2 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 2 1999: 7 2000: 0 2001: 1 2002: 9 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 0 2007: 3 2008: 3 2009: 0 2010: 3 2011: 2 2012: 0 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 0 2017: 0 2018: 0 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 2 2024: 2 2025: 5 18951905191519251935194519551965197519851995200520152025
Months each year with a Palmer index of −3 or lower, 1895 to 2025. Twelve means the whole year.
  1. The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.

NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.

Earthquakes

6 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 5.8 in 2011.

0

Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973

17

Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973

6

Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900

1

Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900

Largest within 50 miles

August 23, 2011

Magnitude 5.8

11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia; 16.7 miles away, 3.7 miles deep.

Most recent, magnitude 3 or more

May 21, 2014

Magnitude 3.1

15 km ENE of Cumberland, Virginia; 38.1 miles away.

Earthquakes of magnitude 3 or more within 50 miles, by year 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 0 1977: 0 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 2 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 1 1985: 0 1986: 0 1987: 0 1988: 0 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 1 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 0 1999: 0 2000: 0 2001: 1 2002: 0 2003: 2 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 0 2007: 0 2008: 0 2009: 0 2010: 1 2011: 6 6 2012: 2 2013: 0 2014: 1 2015: 0 2016: 0 2017: 0 2018: 0 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 0 19731978198319881993199820032008201320182023
Per year, 1973 to 2025.

Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles

Earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
Aug 25, 20114.517.84.28 km SW of Mineral, Virginia
Aug 23, 20114.217.60.011 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia
Aug 23, 20115.816.73.711 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia
Dec 9, 20034.528.76.25 km ENE of Columbia, Virginia
Aug 17, 19844.238.05.35 km WNW of Palmyra, Virginia
Feb 11, 19074.040.8—Near Arvonia, Virginia
  1. Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
  2. Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).

USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Severe weather and other events

449 events in the National Weather Service record, 419 of them since 1996.

22

Hail reports, 1 inch or larger

4

Hail, 2 inches or larger

178

Damaging gusts, 58 mph+

109

Winter weather events since 1996

5

Heat events since 1996

3

Cold events since 1996

Largest hail

August 7, 2023

4.00 inches

Strongest measured or estimated gust

June 16, 2016

75 mph

More event types since 1996

Other Storm Events types since 1996
Lightning102Jul 26, 2001

Costliest events since 1996

  1. Apr 1, 1998Tornado$200,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Supercell thunderstorm produced a tornado along a 9 mile path extending from near Coatesville in northwest Hanover county eastward into south central Caroline county southeast of Ruther Glen. The damage path was nearly continuous along this track, with damage intensity ranging from F0/F1 to strong F2/F3 in a couple of locations along the path. Damage path ranged from about 200 yards wide to near one quarter of a mile wide at its widest. The most significant structural damage occurred to two homes east of Coatesville. One home was completely destroyed and another severely damaged. Numerous other homes in northwest Hanover and south central Caroline counties sustained lesser damage.…

  2. Aug 8, 2024Tornado$200,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Around 654 PM, a thunderstorm in a rain band associated with Tropical Depression Debby produced a short lived tornado that initially touched down near Cedar Fork Road about 1 mile west of Route 1 near Golansville. The tornado snapped and uprooted several pine trees in this location before entering a densely wooded forest to the north. About 6/10 of a mile to the northeast, the tornado entered the Lake Caroline Subdivision near the intersection of Senate Drive and Kennedy Cove. Numerous trees were snapped and uprooted. As the tornado continued to travel north northwest, it continued to knock down additional trees, with numerous houses along Loyalist Drive, American Drive, West…

  3. Sep 16, 1999Flash Flood$122,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Very heavy rain from Hurricane Floyd produced widespread flooding and flash flooding across much of central and eastern Virginia, and northeast North Carolina. Rainfall amounts generally ranged from near 7 inches from eastern Caroline county to Richmond City to Brunswick, Lunenburg and Mecklenburg counties, to 12 to 18 inches in much of the Virginia Tidewater. Numerous roads were washed out due to flooding. Many areas normally prone only to flooding of poor drainage and low lying areas experienced significant flash flooding. Primary routes out of service included US 460 near Wakefield, US 58 near Emporia and Franklin, and Interstate 95 south of Petersburg to Emporia. River…

  4. Jun 19, 2014Thunderstorm Wind$100,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Significant damage occurred across the central portions of the county from severe winds. Numerous trees were downed in Bowling Green and Milford. In Bowling Green, most of the damage was along West Broaddus Avenue and a mile to the west. A few trees were downed onto homes with significant roof damage. In Milford, numerous trees were downed along Baltimore Road. One tree fell onto a home, another onto a garage, and a third onto a shed.

  5. Jun 29, 2012Thunderstorm Wind$80,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Several large trees were downed along Penola Road. Structural damage also occurred.

  6. Nov 11, 2022Tornado$50,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    An EF0 tornado tracked from King and Queen county into Caroline county. The tornado struck a farm in Tignor at the intersection of Sparta Road and Tignor Road (Root Swamp Road becomes Tignor Road). Several outbuildings were heavily damaged or destroyed. One silo was damaged along with 3 tractors. The tornado dissipated just north of the farm.

  7. Feb 13, 2021Ice Storm, Caroline$50,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Freezing rain or freezing drizzle resulted in significant ice accretion between 0.25 inch and 0.35 inch across the county. Numerous trees and power lines were downed, with widespread power outages reported due to the ice accretion.

  8. Jul 29, 2021Thunderstorm Wind$35,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Recreational vehicle (RV) was destroyed along Alps Drive.

  9. Feb 18, 2021Winter Storm, Caroline$30,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Ice accretions between 0.20 inch and 0.30 inch, along with sleet accumulations between 0.5 inch and 1.5 inches were reported. Several trees and power lines were downed, with numerous power outages reported.

  10. Jan 30, 2000Ice Storm, Caroline$25,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    An ice storm affected a large portion of central and eastern Virginia with ice accumulations of up to one-half inch. Freezing rain mixed with sleet and snow spread over the area during the morning hours. Freezing rain then mixed with rain during the afternoon and evening along the eastern counties of Prince George, Charles City, New Kent, King William, King and Queen, Essex, Richmond, and Westmoreland. Farther west, freezing rain fell for most of the day with general accumulations from one-fourth to one-half inch. At one point, 300,000 people were without power in the Richmond vicinity due to the weight of ice downing trees and power lines. One Richmond TV station was knocked off…

  1. Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.

Weather records

From Corbin, 13.8 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1959.

All-time high
104°FAug 21, 1983
All-time low
−11°FFeb 5, 1996
Warmest night
79°FJul 17, 1980
Coldest day
10°F2 times, most recently Jan 20, 1994
Wettest day
7.45 inJun 22, 1972
Snowiest day
15.0 inMar 6, 1962
Hottest year
2012mean 59.3°F
Coldest year
1966mean 54.0°F
Wettest year
201864.50 in
Driest year
198130.45 in
Snowiest season
47.8 in1995-96
Average monthly high and low temperature and precipitation, last 30 years, Corbin 32°F 45° 26° 2.6 Jan 50° 29° 2.8 Feb 58° 36° 3.0 Mar 69° 45° 3.1 Apr 76° 54° 3.9 May 84° 63° 4.0 Jun 88° 67° 3.5 Jul 86° 66° 3.4 Aug 79° 59° 4.1 Sep 70° 48° 3.5 Oct 59° 37° 2.9 Nov 49° 30° 3.0 Dec Precipitation, inches
Average daily high and low by month, and average monthly precipitation, over the last 30 years.
Days reaching 95°F per year 1976: 1 1977: 21 1978: 2 1979: 2 1980: 28 28 1981: 3 1982: 0 1983: 17 1984: 0 1985: 2 1986: 7 1987: 15 1988: 17 1989: 1 1990: 3 1991: 17 1992: 5 1993: 11 1994: 3 1995: 1 1996: 2 1997: 7 1998: 10 1999: 18 2000: 3 2001: 3 2003: 2 2005: 6 2007: 11 2009: 1 2011: 7 2012: 16 2013: 1 2014: 2 2015: 0 2017: 6 2018: 3 2019: 6 2020: 12 2021: 2 2022: 1 2023: 5 2024: 14 2025: 7 19761986199620112022
Days reaching 95°F each complete year, last 50 years. Thirty-year average: 6.0.
Snowfall by winter 1976: 15.8 in 1977: 22.0 in 1978: 29.2 in 1979: 29.6 in 1980: 4.2 in 1981: 25.8 in 1982: 24.2 in 1983: 8.5 in 1984: 6.6 in 1985: 8.1 in 1986: 27.3 in 1987: 20.1 in 1988: 4.3 in 1989: 22.5 in 1990: 2.0 in 1991: 2.5 in 1992: 13.3 in 1993: 13.0 in 1994: 7.9 in 1995: 47.8 in 47.8 1996: 9.2 in 1997: 1.5 in 1998: 5.0 in 1999: 11.2 in 2000: 4.0 in 2001: 6.0 in 2002: 31.5 in 2004: 6.3 in 2005: 13.0 in 2009: 42.7 in 2020: 11.9 in 2022: 0.0 in 2023: 3.8 in 2024: 15.7 in 2025: 12.7 in 1976198619962020
Total snowfall each winter (July to June), last 50 winters.

Median first snow

December 21

Earliest: October 11, 1979

Median last snow

February 28

Latest: April 9, 1982

1 of 52 winters had no measurable snow.

Station Corbin (USC00442009), 220 ft elevation, 13.8 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1959 to October 8, 2026; 93.0% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.

NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.

Federal disaster declarations

24 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 23, 2026.

Federal disaster declarations
Jan 23, 2026Winter StormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3631-VA
Mar 11, 2022Severe StormSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disasterDR-4644-VA
May 10, 2021Severe Ice StormSevere Winter StormsMajor disasterDR-4602-VA
Apr 2, 2020BiologicalCovid-19 PandemicMajor disasterDR-4512-VA
Mar 13, 2020BiologicalCovid-19EmergencyEM-3448-VA
Sep 11, 2018HurricaneHurricane FlorenceEmergencyEM-3403-VA
Mar 7, 2016SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disasterDR-4262-VA
Oct 29, 2012HurricaneHurricane SandyEmergencyEM-3359-VA
Nov 17, 2011Severe StormThe Remnants of Tropical Storm LeeMajor disasterDR-4045-VA
Sep 3, 2011HurricaneHurricane IreneMajor disasterDR-4024-VA
Apr 27, 2010SnowstormSevere Winter Storms and SnowstormsMajor disasterDR-1905-VA
Feb 16, 2010SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disasterDR-1874-VA
Sep 22, 2006Severe StormTropical Depression Ernesto, Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disasterDR-1661-VA
Sep 12, 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergencyEM-3240-VA
Sep 18, 2003HurricaneHurricane IsabelMajor disasterDR-1491-VA
Feb 28, 2000Severe StormSevere Winter StormsMajor disasterDR-1318-VA
Sep 18, 1999HurricaneHurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsMajor disasterDR-1293-VA
Jan 13, 1996SnowstormBlizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disasterDR-1086-VA
Apr 11, 1994Severe StormSevere Winter Ice StormMajor disasterDR-1021-VA
Mar 10, 1994SnowstormSevere Ice Storms, FloodingMajor disasterDR-1014-VA
Mar 25, 1993SnowstormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3112-VA
Jul 23, 1977DroughtDroughtEmergencyEM-3046-VA
Jun 23, 1972FloodTropical Storm AgnesMajor disasterDR-339-VA
Aug 23, 1969HurricaneSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-274-VA

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.

How this compares

Where Caroline County stands among 133 counties in Virginia and 3,143 in the United States.

Ranks
Tornadoes since 19501514 / 1331,879 / 3,143
Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger0——
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi2439 / 133443 / 3,143
Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi235 / 133454 / 3,143
Wildfire acres since 19840——
Flood insurance claims8117 / 1332,410 / 3,143
Flood insurance paid$42,000120 / 1332,525 / 3,143
Disaster declarations2419 / 133900 / 3,143
Flood events since 19965481 / 1331,322 / 3,143
Hail and wind events since 199623144 / 1331,691 / 3,143
Winter storm events since 199610934 / 133845 / 3,143
Reported damage since 1996$1.7 million115 / 1332,820 / 3,143
River crests at major flood stage0——
High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years0.0——
Months in severe drought since 18951306 / 1331,459 / 3,143
Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years11.637 / 1332,223 / 3,143
Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900616 / 133589 / 3,143
Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 19730——

Neighbouring counties

Neighbouring counties
Essex County3240241
Hanover County1726039
King George County820016
King William County828089
King and Queen County831022
Spotsylvania County1316054
Stafford County18160164

Sources and vintage

Every number on this page comes from these public records.

  • Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
  • Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
  • Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
  • Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
  • Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
  • Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00442009.
  • River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
  • Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.

Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.