Middlesex County
Population 10,841 (2025) 130 sq mi
Property owners in Middlesex County have filed 234 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 34th most of 133 counties in Virginia.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195011
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger68
- Major flood years since 19782
At a glance
The record for Middlesex County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi
35
20th of 133 in Virginia
2 at hurricane strength since 1851
DetailsStrongest tornado
F3
August 6, 1993, 2.9 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
Cat. 2
Hurricane (unnamed), 1878, 24.0 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 6.9 years since 1950, one of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
August 6, 1993
F3, 2.9 mile path
100 yards wide.
Most recent
Sunday, November 9, 2025
EF0, 0.5 mile path
Within the past year.
Every recorded tornado
| Nov 9, 2025 | EF0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 11, 2018 | EF0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 24, 2016 | EF1 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 24, 2016 | EF1 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 16, 2011 | EF2 | 2.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 16, 2011 | EF1 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 8, 2005 | F1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 14, 2000 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 6, 1993 | F3 | 2.9 | 0 | 0 |
| May 11, 1981 | F2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 15, 1976 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Middlesex County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
35 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 2 at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
October 23, 1878
Unnamed storm, Category 2
24.0 miles at closest approach, winds near 96 mph.
Most recent
July 9, 2021
Elsa, Tropical storm
0.0 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
| Elsa | 2021 | 0.0 | Tropical storm |
| Claudette | 2021 | 94.3 | Tropical storm |
| Zeta | 2020 | 31.6 | Post-tropical |
| Isaias | 2020 | 3.3 | Tropical storm |
| Fay | 2020 | 86.5 | Tropical storm |
| Nestor | 2019 | 29.9 | Post-tropical |
| Michael | 2018 | 41.4 | Post-tropical |
| Andrea | 2013 | 11.3 | Post-tropical |
| Irene | 2011 | 53.0 | Category 1 |
| Hanna | 2008 | 2.2 | Tropical storm |
| Barry | 2007 | 93.1 | Post-tropical |
| Ernesto | 2006 | 2.6 | Post-tropical |
| Gaston | 2004 | 12.2 | Tropical storm |
| Charley | 2004 | 44.7 | Post-tropical |
| Isabel | 2003 | 78.7 | Tropical storm |
| Helene | 2000 | 70.7 | Tropical storm |
| Floyd | 1999 | 35.3 | Tropical storm |
| Earl | 1998 | 90.9 | Post-tropical |
| Danny | 1997 | 65.0 | Tropical storm |
| Josephine | 1996 | 87.4 | Post-tropical |
| Bertha | 1996 | 3.8 | Tropical storm |
| Danielle | 1992 | 45.2 | Tropical storm |
| Charley | 1986 | 58.6 | Category 1 |
| Gloria | 1985 | 80.7 | Category 2 |
| Doria | 1971 | 27.3 | Tropical storm |
| Alma | 1970 | 76.8 | Tropical storm |
| Camille | 1969 | 28.6 | Tropical storm |
| Doria | 1967 | 56.2 | Tropical storm |
| Cleo | 1964 | 83.6 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1963 | 11.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1961 | 29.4 | Tropical storm |
| Donna | 1960 | 78.0 | Category 2 |
| Brenda | 1960 | 10.9 | Tropical storm |
| Cindy | 1959 | 33.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1956 | 72.1 | Post-tropical |
| Flossy | 1956 | 82.1 | Post-tropical |
| Ione | 1955 | 72.8 | Category 1 |
| Connie | 1955 | 8.9 | Tropical storm |
| Hazel | 1954 | 60.2 | Post-tropical |
| Barbara | 1953 | 63.3 | Category 1 |
| Able | 1952 | 93.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1949 | 99.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1947 | 98.4 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1945 | 35.1 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1944 | 3.9 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1944 | 93.3 | Category 3 |
| Unnamed | 1944 | 25.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1943 | 31.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1936 | 88.2 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1935 | 37.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1933 | 5.5 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1929 | 30.9 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 38.4 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 6.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1925 | 86.6 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1924 | 21.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1916 | 15.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1915 | 82.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1907 | 58.5 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1904 | 14.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1903 | 94.3 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 21.5 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 2.7 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1900 | 86.4 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1899 | 30.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1899 | 90.3 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1897 | 80.5 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1894 | 43.6 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1894 | 80.9 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 45.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 81.8 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 89.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 71.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1889 | 16.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1888 | 79.5 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1888 | 1.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1887 | 74.2 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1886 | 0.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1885 | 83.9 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1882 | 24.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1882 | 2.3 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1881 | 39.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1879 | 52.4 | Category 2 |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 24.0 | Category 2 |
| Unnamed | 1877 | 2.0 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1876 | 30.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1874 | 4.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1872 | 4.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1866 | 95.6 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1863 | 23.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1861 | 81.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1861 | 31.5 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1859 | 4.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1857 | 89.6 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1856 | 33.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1854 | 55.5 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1851 | 79.6 | Tropical storm |
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 51 days
Heavy smoke on 11 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
11.5 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
10 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 34 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
234 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $3.2 million paid.
Most claims in one year
2003: 100 claims
$1.7 million paid.
2nd most
2006: 65 claims
$1.1 million paid.
3rd most
1999: 11 claims
$50,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 23043 | 134 | $1.5 million |
| 23175 | 35 | $681,000 |
| 23071 | 22 | $237,000 |
| 23176 | 15 | $393,000 |
| 23169 | 9 | $151,000 |
| 23180 | 8 | $245,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Heavy Rain41
- Coastal Flood11
- Flood7
- Flash Flood3
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 91 of 1,581 months since 1895 (6%); the longest spell lasted 12 months.
91
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
27
Months in extreme drought
6%
Share of all months, severe or worse
2
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
February 1931
−6.34, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
12 months
August 1930 to July 1931.
Latest month
September 2026
−1.39, mild drought
Last severe month: August 2010.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
8 earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 1985; none reached magnitude 4.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
1
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
0
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
October 2, 2010
Magnitude 3.0
10 km NNW of Ashland, Virginia; 42.8 miles away, 11.9 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
October 2, 2010
Magnitude 3.0
10 km NNW of Ashland, Virginia; 42.8 miles away.
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
283 events in the National Weather Service record, 261 of them since 1996.
12
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
0
Hail, 2 inches or larger
67
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
75
Winter weather events since 1996
6
Heat events since 1996
2
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
August 26, 2003
1.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
May 2, 1989
115 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 3 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Sep 18, 2003Hurricane (Typhoon), Middlesex$14.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Hurricane Isabel was a Category 1 hurricane as it crossed the Wakefield WFO county warning area. Sustained tropical storm force winds with frequent gusts to hurricane force occurred over Eastern Virginia, along and near the Chesapeake Bay and Atlantic Coastal Waters. Isabel made landfall near Ocracoke Inlet in North Carolina, tracked northwest into central Virginia just west of Richmond, then continued northward into western Pennsylvania. The highest sustained wind speed recorded was 72 mph at Chesapeake Light (CHLV2). Other sustained wind speeds were 69 mph at Gloucester Point (VIMS), 61 mph at the Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel, 58 mph at Norfolk Naval Air Station (NGU), 57 mph at…
- Sep 1, 2006Coastal Flood, Middlesex$9.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Tides of 4 to 5 feet above normal...combined with 6 to 8 foot waves caused significant damage to homes, piers, bulkheads, boats, and marinas across portions of the Virginia Peninsula and Middle Peninsula near the Chesapeake Bay and adjacent tributaries.
- Apr 16, 2011Tornado$6.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Tornado developed in southeast Middlesex county along the Plankatank River. It moved northeast through Deltaville then off the land and dissipated over the Rappahannock River. Thirty five homes in Deltaville sustained major damage or were destroyed by the tornado. An additional 25 homes sustained minor damage or were affected by the tornado or its associated debris. with many being severely damaged. Numerous trees were downed and many were sheared off.
- Sep 1, 2006High Wind, Middlesex$5.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
The remnants of Ernesto along the Mid Atlantic coast combined with strong high pressure over New England produced very strong winds across eastern and southeast Virginia. Sustained winds in mph ranged from the lower 40s to near 60 with maximum gusts ranging from the mid 50s to as high as the mid 70s. Some higher sustained winds included 60 mph (52 knots) at York River Range Light and York River United States Coast Guard, and 56 mph (49 knots) at Wallops Island (WAL). Some higher maximum gusts included 76 mph (66 knots) at York River Range Light, and 75 mph (65 knots) at York River USCG. The high winds caused numerous downed trees and power outages, along with significant…
- Sep 15, 1999Hurricane (Typhoon), Middlesex$1.6 million
National Weather Service narrative
Hurricane Floyd was a Category 1 hurricane as it crossed the Wakefield WFO county warning area. Sustained tropical storm force winds with gusts to near hurricane force occurred over the northwest quadrant of the storm over interior portions of northeast North Carolina and along the coastal waters of the Wakefield marine area. The center of the storm crossed the county warning area along an Elizabeth City to Currituck county to Sandbridge Virginia Beach axis. The highest sustained wind speed recorded was 69 mph at Chesapeake Light (CHLV2). Other sustained wind speeds were 46 mph at Langley Air Force Base (LFI), 44 mph at Norfolk Naval Air Station (NGU), and 41 mph at Oceana Naval…
- Feb 24, 2016Tornado$275,000
National Weather Service narrative
NWS storm survey concluded that an EF1 tornado with winds estimated around 100 mph affected Middlesex county near Remlik. The tornado destroyed a house on Reed Road, tore off the second story of a barn in Hampstead Farms, and tore off the roof of another barn in Corbin Farms.
- May 22, 2014Thunderstorm Wind$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
Trees were downed onto several campers resulting in major damage.
- Oct 28, 2012Coastal Flood, Middlesex$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
Water levels reached 2.0 feet to 3.5 feet above normal adjacent to the Chesapeake Bay and Rappahannock River resulting in moderate to severe coastal flooding.
- Jul 18, 1996Lightning$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
Lightning strike caused a fire which damaged the ceiling and roof of a 40-year-old church.
- Aug 27, 2011Tropical Storm, Middlesex$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Tropical storm force winds knocked down several trees and power lines, as well as caused some significant property damage. In addition, heavy rains contributed to significant crop damage. The highest sustained wind of 41 knots (47 mph) with a peak gust of 47 knots (54 mph) was recorded at Deltaville. Storm total rainfall generally ranged from six to eleven inches.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From W Point 2 Nw, 16.4 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1954.
- All-time high
- 106°F2 times, most recently Jul 25, 2010
- All-time low
- −7°FJan 21, 1985
- Warmest night
- 79°F7 times, most recently Jul 6, 2024
- Coldest day
- 14°FJan 9, 1970
- Wettest day
- 10.75 inSep 16, 1999
- Snowiest day
- 12.5 inJan 25, 2000
- Hottest year
- 1990mean 61.1°F
- Coldest year
- 1966mean 56.6°F
- Wettest year
- 200367.57 in
- Driest year
- 196527.65 in
- Snowiest season
- 34.1 in1979-80
Median first snow
December 26
Earliest: November 11, 1987
Median last snow
February 21
Latest: April 13, 1957
3 of 70 winters had no measurable snow.
Station W Point 2 Nw (USC00449025), 20 ft elevation, 16.4 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1954 to October 22, 2026; 99.8% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
24 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 23, 2026.
| Jan 23, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3631-VA |
| May 10, 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-4602-VA |
| Apr 2, 2020 | Biological | DR-4512-VA |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3448-VA |
| Dec 18, 2018 | Hurricane | DR-4411-VA |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Hurricane | EM-3403-VA |
| Nov 26, 2012 | Hurricane | DR-4092-VA |
| Oct 29, 2012 | Hurricane | EM-3359-VA |
| Sep 3, 2011 | Hurricane | DR-4024-VA |
| Aug 26, 2011 | Hurricane | EM-3329-VA |
| Sep 22, 2006 | Severe Storm | DR-1661-VA |
| Sep 12, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3240-VA |
| Sep 18, 2003 | Hurricane | DR-1491-VA |
| Feb 28, 2000 | Severe Storm | DR-1318-VA |
| Sep 18, 1999 | Hurricane | DR-1293-VA |
| Sep 16, 1999 | Hurricane | EM-3147-VA |
| Sep 6, 1996 | Hurricane | DR-1135-VA |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1086-VA |
| Mar 10, 1994 | Snowstorm | DR-1014-VA |
| Mar 25, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3112-VA |
| Nov 9, 1985 | Flood | DR-755-VA |
| Jul 23, 1977 | Drought | EM-3046-VA |
| Jan 26, 1977 | Freezing | DR-525-VA |
| Jun 23, 1972 | Flood | DR-339-VA |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Middlesex County stands among 133 counties in Virginia and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 11 | 29 / 133 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 1 | 12 / 133 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 35 | 20 / 133 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 2 | 35 / 133 |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 234 | 34 / 133 |
| Flood insurance paid | $3.2 million | 43 / 133 |
| Disaster declarations | 24 | 19 / 133 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 62 | 71 / 133 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 96 | 103 / 133 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 75 | 75 / 133 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $67.7 million | 10 / 133 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 91 | 76 / 133 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 11.5 | 45 / 133 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 0 | — |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Essex County | 3 | 24 |
| Gloucester County | 17 | 38 |
| King and Queen County | 8 | 31 |
| Mathews County | 7 | 40 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00449025.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.